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The strongest support for BTC is at 62k-60k with nearly a 90% probability of being touched, and at 58k-55k with a 50% probability. Below 50k, the chances are small unless there is bad news.
Similarly, if there is good news, it can reverse the trend.
For your information, technical analysis only accounts for 30%, while 70% is geopolitics. So nothing is certain in the market. If technicals are bearish but suddenly the US makes peace with Iran, it can change the momentum, and vice versa.
Start DCA-ing your favorite coins when BTC is at 62k. If it drops further, add more; the risk-reward is reasonable around -20% : +50%-60% if you enter Solana. The harsh reality is that even if BTC drops below 40k, it won't take years to break even, but the chances are very small.