Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

Focus on price action and volatility across stocks, bonds, forex, commodities, and major indices. Analyze macro indicators like interest rates, inflation, employment, and policy expectations to decode global liquidity shifts, risk sentiment, and cross-market correlations.
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Morgan Stanley Chief Strategist: U.S. Midterm Election Results Won’t Stop Investors from “Buying the Dip” in U.S. Stocks; S&P 500 Falls Before Rebounding

U.S. equity strategist Wilson is bullish on U.S. stocks, viewing the midterm elections, concerns about AI capital expenditures, and liquidity constraints as three major clearing events. In the short term, these could push the S&P 500 down to around 7,100, but after they pass, it could still rebound to above 8,000. He also notes that stocks often rise in the 6–12 months after midterm elections, and that the resulting K-shaped market benefits large companies while putting pressure on low-quality small caps. Abstract (English): Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. equity strategist, is bullish on U.S. stocks despite three major “clearing” events—midterm elections, concerns over AI capital spending, and liquidity constraints—that could push the S&P 500 down to around 7,100 in the short term before it rebounds to above 8,000 once they pass. He notes that gains often occur in the 6–12 months after midterm elections, alongside a large IPO cycle, and that the market is K-shaped, with large caps thriving while small caps suffer.
SPCX-5.33%
Bisc·11-02 02:43
大摩首席策略師稱美國中期選舉結果無阻逢低買入美股

Morgan Stanley: Three major headwinds for U.S. stocks are gradually fading; year-end S&P 500 target set at 8,000 points

Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson said in a recent research report that U.S. equities are being weighed down by three factors: concerns about AI capital expenditures, midterm election uncertainty, and tightening liquidity. However, as these headwinds gradually fade, the current correction may be nearing its end. Morgan Stanley maintained its year-end S&P 500 target of 8,000, while noting that the index could dip to the 7,100–7,200 range in the short term. S&P 500 year-end target of 8,000,
Bisc·11-02 02:35
摩根士丹利稱美股三大利空逐步出清

South Korea Credit Card Bond Market Sees Issuer-Investor Dynamic Shift

South Korea's credit card bond issuance market has shown increased activity recently, with investors now actively inquiring about allocation opportunities, according to multiple bond market participants. The shift follows bond market stabilization and growing perception that interest rates have
GateMacroTradfiHub·11-02 02:33
South Korea Credit Card Bond Market Sees Issuer-Investor Dynamic Shift

South Korea Plans T+1 Stock Settlement Cycle by 2028

Korea Exchange, Korea Securities Depository, Korea Securities Finance and Koscom on November 2 unveiled a joint roadmap to shorten South Korea's stock settlement cycle to T+1 from the current T+2, targeting implementation in 2028. The institutions aim to complete system development by October 2027 t
Bloomingbit·11-02 02:21
South Korea Plans T+1 Stock Settlement Cycle by 2028