Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

According to CME FedWatch, on October 5, the market priced a 77.9% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged at its October decision, with a 22.1% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike. For December, the probability of holding rates steady stands at 11.4%,

South Korean banks expanded gold bar sales channels and product varieties in recent months following supply shortages that lasted from last October through the first half of this year. Hana Bank added Samsung Gold Exchange as a supplier on the 29th of last month, KB Kookmin Bank resumed mobile and i

According to South Korean financial sector reports, major banks continued selling physical gold bars at approximately 300 billion Korean won monthly from August through September 2026, about four times the 2022–2024 monthly average of 8.5 billion won. The five largest banks—KB Kookmin Bank,

South Korea recorded a record trade surplus of $49.8 billion in September as exports surged 83.5% year-over-year to $120.9 billion, according to data released October 5 by the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy. The unprecedented export growth drove imports up 26.0% to $71.1 billion, with both e

According to Bank of America, strategist Michael Hartnett warned this week that the S&P 500's divergence mirrors pre-2000 dot-com bubble patterns, with artificial intelligence stocks driving gains while 400 components trade below their 50-day moving average. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed t

According to CEO Jo Hong-rae of Quarterback Asset Management, investors should pursue simultaneous allocation to both Korean and U.S. markets rather than choosing between them. In a recent interview with Kookmin Ilbo, Jo noted that while the Korean market (KOSPI) has declined over 25% from its

Eleven KOSDAQ-listed companies were designated as watchlist stocks within three years of their initial public offerings between 2022 and August 2024, according to data submitted by National Assembly member Park Sung-hoon from the Korea Exchange. Six of the eleven companies subsequently faced

Korean covered call ETFs recorded a 103 percentage point return gap this year, with performance ranging from 82.72% gains to -19.94% losses as of September 22. Mirae Asset's TIGER Dividend Covered Call Active returned 82.72% while Hanwha Asset Management's PLUS High Dividend Weekly Covered Call

Elice Group, an AI education platform company, will conduct its public stock subscription on October 7 and 8, following the conclusion of institutional demand forecasting on October 2 and price confirmation scheduled for October 6. The company's offering price range is set at 70,400–90,500 won per s

According to data provided to South Korean lawmaker Park Sung-hun from the Korea Exchange, 11 KOSDAQ-listed companies that went public within the past five years were designated as managed items within three years of listing, with six

According to South Korea's financial investment industry on October 5, AI education platform Alice Group will confirm its IPO price on October 6 and conduct public offering subscriptions on October 7-8. The company plans to issue 2.22 million shares at a price range of 70,400-90,500 Korean won per s

According to ChainCatcher, citing Gate market data, spot gold declined today (October 4) after opening higher, with intraday fluctuations near $10. Gold currently trades at $4,135.16 per ounce.

Brent crude futures opened up $1 per barrel on Monday after Yemen-based Houthi militants claimed an attack on Saudi Aramco facilities.

WTI crude oil opened slightly higher on Monday, trading at $90.54 per barrel.

Spot gold opened higher on Monday, trading at $4,141.05 per ounce.

According to S&P Global, Australia's services sector PMI came in at 51.9 in September, up from 51.4 in August, indicating continued expansion in the service economy.

Australia's S&P Global composite PMI reached 51.3 in September, up from 50.8 in the prior month, according to the latest data release.

El Salvador received $138 million from the International Monetary Fund after the lender approved a waiver despite the country failing to meet some Bitcoin-related conditions, Cointelegraph reported on October 4. The IMF granted the waiver citing 'strong corrective actions' and new policy

The KOSDAQ pharmaceutical sector index fell 10.51% last month, marking the steepest decline among major industry groups and extending its year-to-date loss to 36.65%, according to data from Yonhap Infomax released on the 5th. The downturn reflects capital rotation into artificial intelligence and se

Saudi Aramco set its official selling price for Arab Light crude oil in November at a premium of $0.85 per barrel to ICE Brent for shipments to Northwest Europe, and at a premium of $4.60 per barrel to Arab Light crude for U.S.