Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

According to Jin10 citing CME FedWatch, on July 14, the Federal Reserve has a 58.3% probability of holding rates unchanged in July, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike stands at 41.7%.

Lee Jae-yong, chairman of Samsung Electronics, saw his stock valuation increase by over 28 trillion won during Q2 2026 as South Korean stocks rallied. Between March 31 and June 30, Lee's holdings rose from 30.9414 trillion won to 59.1878 trillion won, a 91.3% gain, according to a survey released on

According to Korean CXO Research Institute's second-quarter survey released July 14, Samsung Electronics Chairman Lee Jae-yong's stock valuations surged 28.2 trillion won (up 91.3%) between March 31 and June 30, reaching 59.1 trillion won. SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won posted a 176.9% gain,

According to RBNZ Chief Economist Conway, geopolitical tensions from the Middle East conflict are complicating monetary policy decisions. Conway flagged upside risks to inflation expectations for the third

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix single-stock leveraged and inverse exchange-traded funds attracted over 23 trillion won in trading volume during June 1-30, according to Korea Exchange data released on the 14th. The concentrated capital inflow reflects short-term profit-seeking behavior amid

According to the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER), business confidence improved during the second quarter of 2026.

According to reports on July 13, the U.S. announced a resumption of its blockade on Iranian vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a sharp rally in international oil prices. WTI crude oil surged over 9%, reaching $78 per

Korean energy, shipping, and renewable energy stocks rose on the 14th as Middle East war tensions escalated, with STX Green Logistics surging 29.99% and SK Innovation climbing 7.09%. The rally followed Iran Revolutionary Guard's announcement on the 12th (local time) that it would re-blockade the

According to Hankyung, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard announced on July 12 it would re-close the Strait of Hormuz in response to a U.S. airstrike, causing global crude oil prices to surge. WTI crude futures jumped over 4% to the mid-$70s per barrel on July 14. South Korean energy and shipping s

According to the U.S. Department of Energy, 8.5 million barrels of crude oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday (July 12) with U.S. military support, despite weekend clashes with Iran. The department's spokesperson stated that U.S. forces will ensure continuous oil transportation

The Trump administration's net tariff revenue recorded negative figures for the second consecutive month in June, according to a US Treasury Department revenue and expenditure report released on the 13th local time. Net tariff revenue, calculated as total tariffs minus refunds, came in at

According to the U.S. Treasury Department statement released on June 13, tariff net revenues for the Trump administration recorded negative $25.6 billion in June, the second consecutive month in the red following a Supreme Court ruling ordering refunds of previously collected reciprocal tariffs.

SK Hynix stocks fell below the 200,000 KRW threshold on the 13th as South Korea's KOSPI index dropped approximately 9%, closing at 6806.93. The decline reflected broader market turmoil, with SK Hynix recording a 15% drop and Samsung Electronics falling over 10%. The sharp downturn transformed

Strategy Inc. (Nasdaq: MSTR) launched the Bitcoin Banking Adoption Index on X on July 13, assigning an overall score of 32% to institutional bitcoin adoption across major financial firms. The index evaluates approximately 30 institutions across trading, custody, products, margin activity, and

Strategy Inc. (Nasdaq: MSTR) launched the Bitcoin Banking Adoption Index on July 13, assessing institutional cryptocurrency adoption across major financial firms. The index assigned an overall adoption score of 32%, evaluating 30 institutions across trading, custody, products, and leadership

According to Edaily, 14 single-stock leverage exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix hit record lows yesterday (July 12) as the KOSPI index plummeted to around 6,800. The KODEX SK Hynix Single Stock Leverage ETF fell to 15,890 Korean won intraday, a 62.4% decline

On July 14, the U.S. storage chip and semiconductor supply chain index fell 6.96% to 213.87 points, marking the day's steepest decline among major technology sectors. Other key indices also retreated: U.S. hyperscaler cloud service stocks dropped 1.01% to 93.03 points, the information technology in

South Korea's Financial Services Commission held a closed-door meeting on July 14 with major securities firms and asset management companies to discuss regulatory measures for single-stock leveraged ETFs. The meeting followed a 31% single-day plunge in the SK Hynix single-stock leveraged ETF on

KOSPI closed at 6806.93 on July 13, down 669.01 points or 8.95% from the previous trading day, as the Korean stock market recorded its steepest decline for a comparable period since 2000. The index fell 19.7% in July's first nine trading days, driven by extreme volatility in semiconductor stocks

Five major South Korean securities firms — Mirae Asset, NH Investment, Samsung, Kiwoom Securities, and Korea Financial Group — are expanding overseas operations as part of a strategic shift to reduce reliance on traditional brokerage revenue, according to data released on the 13th by financial