Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

Gate News update: On April 11, according to Bloomberg TV, most Wall Street analysts expect Michael Saylor’s MSTR (MicroStrategy) stock price to more than double this year. Most analysts maintain a Buy rating and say it is the world’s most undervalued company.

Amid the impact of the U.S.-Iran geopolitical conflict, the Bitcoin market has diverged: institutional investors continue to accumulate Bitcoin, while whales, mining firms, and some countries are reducing their holdings. Data shows that large holders have shifted to net selling, mining firms’ sell-offs have been significant, and sovereign holders have also clearly cut exposure. Despite muted market sentiment, the price of Bitcoin has held in the $65k to $73k range, and its future direction will depend on continued inflows of institutional capital.

Gate News message. On April 11, according to a source at CBS in the United States, a meeting on the Iran issue that U.S. Vice President Vance is scheduled to attend during his trip to Islamabad has already begun.

Gate News message, on April 11, according to reports by Iran’s state television, Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson said that Iran is maintaining contact with Lebanon to ensure that all parties honor their ceasefire commitments on all fronts.

The United States and Iran held historic direct talks on April 11 in Islamabad, Pakistan, marking the first high-level diplomatic contact since the 1979 Iranian Revolution. The aim is to stabilize the ceasefire and seek a war-resolution solution. Both delegations are large in size, and Pakistan is serving as the intermediary. The negotiations are set against the backdrop of recent military clashes and their impact on global financial markets, and the market will closely watch developments.

Michael Saylor asserts that Bitcoin has already completed its bottoming process at $60k, and believes concerns about threats from quantum computers are overblown. He predicts that Bitcoin will become the core of a digital credit system in the future, and notes that the market’s selling pressure is limited, which could help drive a new bull market. Mizuho also has a positive assessment of the company’s future performance.

Gate News update, April 11, Trump posted on his Truth platform saying that a large number of empty tankers—some of the largest in the world—are currently en route to the United States, loaded with the world’s highest-quality, most “sweet” oil and natural gas. Trump emphasized that the United States’ oil reserves exceed the combined totals of the second- and third-largest oil-producing countries, and that the quality is higher. In the post, he wrote: “We look forward to your visit. Don’t waste time!”

Chicago Mercantile Exchange bitcoin futures open interest fell to a 14-month low. Driven by the unwinding of basis trades, institutions are leaning toward directly holding spot, and the leverage level in the futures market has dropped significantly.

Gate News message. On April 11, according to a reporter from Iran’s state television, Iran has announced its negotiating red lines, including four core points: control of the Strait of Hormuz, payment of war reparations, the release of Iran’s frozen assets, and a ceasefire agreement for the entire region.

Iranian news sources said the conditions for the negotiations to begin have not yet been met, including the unfreezing of frozen assets and a ceasefire in Lebanon. Although there were reports that the United States agreed to unfreeze some assets, it has not publicly responded yet. Iran’s parliamentary speaker emphasized that the negotiations must first satisfy these two conditions.

Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin Trust (MSBT) launched with $34M in first-day trading, exceeding expectations. Its low 0.14% expense ratio positions it competitively in the market, attracting strong demand amid renewed investor interest and favorable geopolitical developments.

Gate News message, on April 11, according to Reuters, a senior Iranian official said that the United States has agreed to lift the freeze on part of Iran’s assets held in Qatar and other foreign banks.

Gate News message, April 11, investment bank TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza lowered MicroStrategy (stock code MSTR)’s target share price from $440 to $350, and maintained a Buy rating. TD Cowen manages $15 billion in assets.

Michael Saylor asserted that Bitcoin has already finished bottoming out when it reached $60k, and he believes concerns about threats from quantum computers are exaggerated. He predicts that in the future, Bitcoin will become the core of a digital credit system, and he mentioned that selling pressure in the market is limited, which could help drive a new bull market. Mizuho also gave a positive assessment of his company’s future performance.

CNN reported that U.S. Vice President Vance played a key role in driving U.S.-Iran talks in Pakistan, and the ceasefire agreement is expected to take a few days to finalize. Pakistan wants to extend Vance’s stay, while Iran has lower trust in Trump’s envoy, Witcoff.

Bitwise filed an amendment for its spot Hyperliquid ETF with the SEC on April 11, adding the trading code BHYP, with a management fee of 0.67%. Analysts noted that these updates often signal that a product is about to launch. Bitwise, Grayscale, and 21Shares are competing for the right to issue the first Hyperliquid spot ETF.

On April 10, the U.S. SOL spot ETF recorded a net inflow of $11.4530 million in a single day. The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) contributed all of the inflow, bringing the historical total net inflow to $789.00 million. The current net asset value (NAV) of the SOL spot ETF’s total assets is $828.00 million, and the historical cumulative net inflow is $975.00 million.

Gate News message, April 11, according to Farside monitoring, yesterday (April 10) U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $240.4 million, achieving net inflows for two consecutive trading days.

Gate News update: April 11, according to Farside monitoring, yesterday (April 10) U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $64.9 million and have achieved net inflows for two consecutive trading days.

Gate News message, April 11, the Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer released the latest Bitcoin holdings data. As of the week ending April 10, Bitdeer’s Bitcoin mining output was 165 BTC, and it sold 165 BTC in the same period, resulting in a net increase of 0 BTC; it still maintains a zero Bitcoin position.