Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

Focus on price action and volatility across stocks, bonds, forex, commodities, and major indices. Analyze macro indicators like interest rates, inflation, employment, and policy expectations to decode global liquidity shifts, risk sentiment, and cross-market correlations.
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CME FedWatch: 97.6% Probability Fed Holds Rates in June Ahead of CPI Report

According to CME FedWatch data on May 12, the probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates unchanged in June stands at 97.6%, with a 2.4% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut. For July, the probability of holding rates steady rises to 95.6%, while the likelihood of a cumulative 25 b
GateNews·05-12 12:26
CME FedWatch: 97.6% Probability Fed Holds Rates in June Ahead of CPI Report

A flood of major macro catalysts is coming this week: a panoramic breakdown from the release of CPI to the consideration of the CLARITY bill

In mid-May 2026, the cryptocurrency market is going through an extremely rare macro-sensitive window. U.S. April CPI data will be released on May 12, the Trump-Xi Beijing summit is scheduled for May 13 to 15, and the Senate Banking Committee will review the CLARITY Act (the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) on May 14. Three independent but highly interconnected events will land within just four days, creating a phase-by-phase stress test for the pricing mechanism of crypto assets. Event calendar
BTC-1.01%
ETH-0.85%
SOL-0.94%
USDC0.01%
GateInstantTrends·05-12 12:11
A flood of major macro catalysts is coming this week: a panoramic breakdown from the release of CPI to the consideration of the CLARITY bill

CBS reveals Pakistan sheltering Iranian military aircraft: During the ceasefire, aircraft were parked at the Naurhang base to avoid U.S. airstrikes

CBS News May 12 exposed that soon after Trump announced a U.S.-Iran ceasefire on April 8, Pakistan allowed multiple Iranian military aircraft to be parked at Nur Khan Air Force Base (Rawalpindi) on the outskirts of Rawalpindi plain, in order to avoid possible U.S. air strikes. According to CBS News, Pakistan also played a role externally as a mediator between the U.S. and Iran, and the dual positioning raised questions in Washington. The event itself: Nur Khan base, RC-130 reconnaissance aircraf
BTC-1.01%
ChainNewsAbmedia·05-12 11:55
CBS reveals Pakistan sheltering Iranian military aircraft: During the ceasefire, aircraft were parked at the Naurhang base to avoid U.S. airstrikes