Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

According to Guru Club, U.S. Vice President Vance stated on September 16 that shipping volumes in the Strait of Hormuz have recovered to over 50% of normal levels.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, increased its holdings by 2.852 tons yesterday, bringing total holdings to 1,050.277 tons.

According to iShares Silver Trust, the world's largest silver ETF reduced its holdings by 25.29 tons from the previous day, bringing total assets to 15,266.31 tons.

According to CME's FedWatch tool, released on September 16, the Federal Reserve has a 92.4% probability of raising rates by 25 basis points at this week's FOMC meeting, with a 7.6% chance of holding rates steady. For October, CME data shows a 4% probability of no change, 52% odds of a 25 basis poin

According to Choice data reported by Shanghai Securities News on September 15, China's tungsten sector stocks surged with year-to-date gains exceeding 100%. Analysts attribute the rally to AI-driven demand for computing capacity, strategic stockpiling due to geopolitical risks, and tight supply.

From 21:45 to 22:00 (UTC) on September 15, 2026, BTC fell sharply over the Short-term period, with a Return % of -0.39% within 15 minutes, a price range of 75397.9–75760.3 USDT, and an amplitude of 0.48%. Market risk appetite came under broad pressure, and volatility intensified. The main driver of this move was the upcoming September meeting of the Fed, at which it was expected to announce its first rate hike in three years. CME futures pricing put the probability of a 25-bp rate hike as high a

A majority of Wall Street professionals surveyed by CNBC this week expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates multiple times, marking a significant shift in sentiment. The survey of 29 economists, fund managers, and strategists found that 55% anticipate at least two 25-basis-point rate

According to OpenAI's official statement on July 2, 2025, the company denied any involvement in Robinhood's tokenized share offerings and clarified that such tokens do not represent OpenAI equity. OpenAI stated: "These 'OpenAI tokens' are not OpenAI equity. We did not partner with Robinhood, were no

According to Yonhap Infomax, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields reached 5.0450% on September 15 (NY time), the highest level since July 2007. The rise was driven by concerns over inflation and geopolitical risks, with

According to MarketWatch, Oracle (ORCL) stock fell 3% on September 15, marking its fifth consecutive trading day of decline with a cumulative loss of 14.18% over the period. The decline reflects investor concerns following recent statements by OpenAI leadership and AI industry executives regarding m

According to U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright, Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline could restart within days, he stated on CNBC. Wright reiterated that the pipeline is likely to reopen "very soon." The secretary noted that Saudi Arabia is taking swift action to divert oil shipments through the

According to CME FedWatch data, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) rose 0.3% to 99.66 on September 15, marking its highest level in two weeks as markets brace for the Federal Reserve's expected rate decision on September 16. The market is pricing in a 94.5% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike, up

According to Wells Fargo strategists led by Ohsung Kwon, the bank downgraded its S&P 500 year-end target to 7,700 points on Sept 15, down from 7,950 points. With the index closing around 7,620 points and up 11% year-to-date, the revision leaves only roughly 1% upside through year-end. The strategist

Elon Musk reiterated on Monday, Sept. 14, that Tesla and SpaceX could eventually merge, stating at the All-In Summit that with extensive collaboration across chip design, AI, energy, and autonomous driving, "who can imagine what actions might be taken in the future." Musk attended the summit with Sp

According to Britain's Maritime Trade Operations Office, oil tanker ELGAIA was struck by unidentified flying objects near Oman's coast on September 16, triggering a fire in the engine room. Twenty-three crew members were evacuated to safety, though two remain missing. The vessel is being towed to an

The Central Bank of Ecuador raised its 2026 economic growth forecast to 2.7% from 2.5% today (September 15). The upward revision reflects improved expectations for the country's economic performance in the current

Bond market traders have built significant short positions ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday, betting that U.S. Treasury yields will continue rising. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield reached

According to Citi strategist David Bieber, U.S. Treasury short positions have rapidly accumulated over the past week as markets followed rising yields. The current short positioning is now at extreme levels from a tactical

According to Reuters, international crude oil prices surged to their highest level in approximately four months on September 15. WTI October futures rose 4.38% to close at $105.83 per barrel, while Brent crude November contracts climbed 2.90% to $108.75/barrel. The rally was driven by supply

According to Baltic Exchange data, the cost of shipping 2 million barrels of U.S. crude from the Gulf of Mexico to Asia via VLCC reached a record $44.8 million as of Tuesday (September 16), up from $39 million the previous day. Prior to the Iran conflict, this shipping route cost