When Will the Strait of Hormuz Return to Normal? How Prediction Market Data Reveals the Latest Trajectory of the U.S.-Iran Conflict
Since the joint US-Israeli military strikes on Iran in late February 2026, the transit status of the Strait of Hormuz has become one of the most important indicators for global energy markets and geopolitics. This strategic waterway carries approximately one-quarter of global seaborne oil trade and around one-fifth of liquefied natural gas shipments. It is now experiencing its most severe transit crisis since the Iran-Iraq War. As traffic volumes change, so do prediction-market prices for when t
GateInstantTrends·15m ago
