A Royal Bank of Canada Mercado de capitais analyst said in a report that due to the threat of US tariffs, the euro against the US dollar may fall in early 2025, but is unlikely to fall below parity. The euro against the US dollar is expected to fall to 1.02 in the first half of 2025 and then rebound to 1.05 by the end of 2025. The possibility of falling below parity cannot be ruled out, but it will not last. Trump's policy proposals will cause inflation, but he may be cautious about excessive compression of disposable income. It is expected that the European Central Bank will not cut interest rates sharply as the market currently expects, further limiting the downward trend of the euro.
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GateUser-b0dca1c3
· 2024-12-18 17:00
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Banco Jiahuang: O euro/dólar cairá no início de 2025, mas não abaixo da paridade
A Royal Bank of Canada Mercado de capitais analyst said in a report that due to the threat of US tariffs, the euro against the US dollar may fall in early 2025, but is unlikely to fall below parity. The euro against the US dollar is expected to fall to 1.02 in the first half of 2025 and then rebound to 1.05 by the end of 2025. The possibility of falling below parity cannot be ruled out, but it will not last. Trump's policy proposals will cause inflation, but he may be cautious about excessive compression of disposable income. It is expected that the European Central Bank will not cut interest rates sharply as the market currently expects, further limiting the downward trend of the euro.