Everyone is sleeping on the bullish setup in $ETH /USDT right now. $ETH /USDT - LONG Trade Plan: Entry: 2410.2 – 2422.0 SL: 2342.6 TP1: 2471.2 TP2: 2508.0 TP3: 2563.1 Why this setup? Why now? The daily trend is bullish, and the 1h price is sitting at 2416.1, exactly at the entry_ref. The 15m RSI is 33.19, showing oversold exhaustion that often precedes a bounce. The 1h ATR of 23.55 means the current candle has room to breathe toward the first target. The entry zone between 2410.2 and 2422.0 aligns perfectly with this reference, offering a clean risk-defined long. The first target sits at 2471.2, with the second objective at 2508.0, but the trade is invalidated if price breaks 2469.5. Debate: Are we hitting TP2 at 2508.0 or getting trapped by the invalidation level at 2469.5? ⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR. Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

The worst thing isn’t getting liquidated, but being right about the direction and then getting shaken out during the final false breakout before the decision, only to watch it double right before your eyes. Late last night, a wick plunged to 74909, accompanied by a concentrated wave of long liquidations. This was a typical move to probe lower for support and shake out highly leveraged longs. After touching the low, buyers quickly stepped in and pushed it back above 75500. It is still moving sideways, with everyone waiting for tonight’s main event. Yesterday, I was bearish throughout the day, and all my calls were posted publicly on the homepage. I also called for shorts in the livestream, and everyone who followed has already taken profits and exited smoothly. On the four-hour chart, the technical structure has been moving downward from the high of 82282, with successive lower highs and new lows—a standard downtrend structure, which is obvious. On the macro side, the Federal Reserve’s FOMC decision is about to be announced. Before such a major uncertainty is resolved, large funds usually choose to lock in profits or reduce positions to manage risk. No incremental capital would dare blindly push the market higher at this juncture. So what should our strategy be? With the trend weak and the macro environment facing a major test, selling into rallies in line with the trend is the lower-risk choice. Key support is at 74900; a high-volume break below the previous low would send price toward 73500–74000 to seek support and form a bottom. Short term: Short BTC near 76500 on a rebound, with 74900 as the target Short ETH near 2432 on a rebound, with 2355 as the target$BTC $ETH

The CLARITY Act failed to pass, 49:50, falling short of the 60-vote threshold, with only a 5% chance of passing this year. BTC briefly fell 5.3%, ETH dropped more than 8%, 120k people were liquidated, $670 million evaporated, including $570 million in long liquidations—a long squeeze. Bearish in the short term, with expectations dashed. Panic and liquidations will continue to recur, so don’t rush to buy the dip. The liquidation chain hasn’t finished playing out; rushing in now is gambling on the news. This is not the end in the long term. Regulatory oversight will shift to the SEC and CFTC, but both agencies already issued classification guidance in March. The bill’s failure means legislative certainty is gone. Administrative guidance is less stable than codified law, so institutional entry will be slower and more arduous. Sis Yue’s advice: For BTC and ETH, look at position size first, not sentiment. Don’t bet on direction based on news, don’t overallocate, and don’t stubbornly hold losing positions. If you’re trapped, reduce risk first; if you have profits, take them off the table in batches. Watching the SEC and CFTC is more useful than watching the bill. The pricing logic hasn’t changed; what has changed is the pace and regulatory path. The more chaotic the market, the more you need to control your exposure$BTC $ETH #美联储即将公布利率决定