Bitcoin and Ethereum’s Sunday evening god-tier prediction analysis precisely identified the entry points and reached the target levels, $BTC rose from 80200 to 81485, delivering 1200 points, while $ETH rose from 2570 to 2649, delivering 79 points.

ETH at $2450—would you buy it? Look at the surface first: bad news is bombarding the market, but the price is not falling. The Fed raised rates by 25 bp on September 16, the first hike in three years; the CLARITY Act was blocked in the Senate; and ETH ETFs saw $220 million in net outflows in a single day. Doesn’t it sound like the sky is falling? But what happened? ETH rebounded from 2360–2370 with a long lower wick, moved above the 20-day EMA (2433), and saw the bad news priced in and oversold conditions recover—but selling pressure remains overhead. The daily MACD is still in a death cross, the SMA20 is pressing down at 2464, and the RSI is neutral at 52–54. A rebound is possible, but a reversal is still a long way off. First: ETFs are selling while whales are buying—which side are you on? On September 16, ETH spot ETFs saw $220 million in net outflows, with BlackRock’s ETHA recording more than $110 million in outflows. Retail investors see “institutions are exiting” and panic-sell everything with one click. But look at another set of data: BitMine’s holdings are now close to 4.9% of the circulating supply, at approximately 5.96 million ETH. ETH net outflows from exchanges continue, reserves remain low, and staking has locked up more than 30% of the supply. Second: MPBC has gone live, and Ethereum has quietly changed its engine. MPBC (multi-party block construction) went live on Ethereum mainnet on September 16, reducing centralization risks and making block construction more decentralized. With the Glamsterdam upgrade testnet rollout also progressing, L2s and RWAs continue to concentrate on ETH. Ethereum is becoming increasingly secure, and institutions are becoming increasingly willing to use it Stablecoins and tokenized Treasuries are all moving onto ETH Third: a signal has appeared on the technical charts that must be watched closely. On September 15, a long bearish candle broke below 2500, with a low of 2360–2370 and a long lower wick. This is a typical “panic sell-off + buying support” pattern. ETH is now above the 20-day EMA, but the SMA20 (2464) is still overhead. Structurally, this looks more like an oversold recovery after the bad news has been priced in, not a bottom reversal. Only a high-volume breakout above 2500 would justify talking about strengthening; a break below 2360 would weaken the structure outright and open up further downside. Key levels: Resistance above: 2450–2480 (first wall) → 2500 (battle line between bulls and bears) → 2526–2540 Support below: 2430–2440 (20 EMA + support zone) → 2368–2370 (strong support) → 2350 → 2300 You make the call in the battle between bulls and bears On one side: The rate hike is behind us, the bad news has been priced in, and the market has already accounted for it Whale holdings are close to 5% of the circulating supply, with net outflows from exchanges and more than 30% locked in staking MPBC is live, Deutsche Bank is providing custody, and RWA/L2s continue to attract capital The long lower wick at 2360–2370 indicates strong demand for an oversold recovery On the other side: ETFs are seeing consecutive outflows, with BlackRock recording $110 million in outflows in a single day The dot plot suggests there could still be rate hikes in 2026, while the macro environment remains tight The daily MACD is in a death cross, the SMA20 is capping the price, and 2500 has rejected price three times If BTC breaks down, ETH will follow without question Trading strategy For short-term traders: If 2430–2440 holds, test a long position with a small allocation, stop-loss at 2410, and a target of 2480–2500. Chase only after a high-volume breakout above 2500, targeting 2526–2540. Bearish approach: If price is rejected at 2450–2480 or breaks below 2400, open a small short position, targeting 2370–2350, with a stop-loss above 2480. Range traders: Buy low and sell high between 2370–2500; don’t chase rallies or sell in panic. Long-term believers: Accumulate in batches below 2400. ETH/BTC is at a low level, and with staking lockups, RWA, and upgrades coming to fruition, hold for 1–2 years, targeting 2600+ or even higher. Rate hikes are not scary; what is scary is handing over your coins at the bottom. The long lower wick at 2360 is the market manipulators’ final strike against retail investors. ETH at 2450 is the same asset as ETH at 4900. What has changed is not its value, but your emotions. At 2450, do you dare to chase? $BTC $ETH $SOL #牛熊未定闲钱该放哪 #Gate广场中秋团圆局 #每周来晒

● ETH Long: ● Entry: Try a small position around the current price of 2635-2640. ● Stop-loss: Break below 2615 (if it breaks below this level, the rebound has failed). ● Targets: First target 2650, second target 2665. ● BTC Long: ● Entry: Enter when a pullback to 80800-80900 holds. ● Stop-loss: Break below 80500. ● Targets: First target 81300, second target 81800. Plan B: Conservative Short at Highs (following the broader-trend pullback) ● Logic: Prices are currently close to the upper Bollinger Band resistance, while trading volume has not increased significantly. It will be difficult to break through the previous highs in one move, and prices will most likely encounter resistance and pull back. ● ETH Short: ● Entry: Wait for the price to reach the 2655-2665 range and open a short when an upper shadow appears. ● Stop-loss: Hold above 2675. ● Target: Retest 2610-2600. ● BTC Short: ● Entry: Wait for the price to reach the 81400-81600 range and open a short if it encounters resistance. ● Stop-loss: Hold above 81800. ● Target: Retest 80800. Risk Warning 1. ETH buying trap: Although the ETH buying ratio is very high (75%), this can sometimes be an illusion created by market makers to distribute their holdings (placing buy orders without actually buying). If the price fails to rise and instead keeps falling, beware of a “bull trap.” 2. BTC selling pressure: The BTC selling ratio is extremely high (87%). If the price withstands this selling pressure without falling, it could instead easily trigger a “short squeeze,” causing a rapid price increase. One-sentence summary: Do not chase gains now. Patiently wait for the price to touch the upper or lower band (ETH 2650/2600, BTC 81400/80700) before taking the opposite position, as this offers the highest win rate. Friendly reminder: Short-term trades must use stop-losses, leverage 100-200x, take profit on BTC after 300 to 500 points, take profit on ETH after 10 to 15 points, with short-term positions at 10%.