Bitcoin fell from around $75,000 after the rate hike, then crashed back to $75,000 before forcefully recovering to $80,000—what exactly happened? After falling from $80,000 back to $75,000 without a deeper drop, Bitcoin was forcefully pushed back above $80,000 by two big bullish candles today. Honestly, this move really has Er Gou scratching his head. Was the rate hike bearish, but the bulls had already exited, so there was no deeper drop? Or was there some other reason? I整理ed it, and the core logic is probably as follows. First, buy the expectation, sell the fact. The probability had already surged to 92.5% before the rate hike, so the market had priced it in long ago. After the drop to $75,000, bears took profits and closed their positions, while dip-buying funds entered and directly absorbed the supply. Second, the bulls were indeed shaken out, but they did not die. The deep squat around $75,000 flushed out high-leverage positions and panic sellers. After the supply changed hands, the market became lighter, reducing resistance to an upward move. Although ETFs are seeing outflows, corporate treasuries such as Strategy and sovereign nations such as El Salvador are still continuously buying. Third, the narrative has undergone a subtle shift. Economic data has pushed up GDP forecasts while the unemployment rate remains low, boosting expectations of a soft landing. At the same time, high U.S. Treasury yields and doubts about sovereign debt credit have brought renewed attention to BTC’s hedging properties as “digital gold.” Don’t rush into FOMO. The dot plot shows that another rate hike is still expected by year-end, and the pressure from long-term U.S. Treasury yields at 5% has not been lifted. Two big bullish candles do not mean the path ahead is clear, and chasing the rally remains dangerous. #美联储10月再加息概率破55% #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 $BTC ‌$ETH

ETH spikes to 2600 for take-profit ETH was originally expected to reach 2600 when BTC reached 81,500, but ETH surged ahead of schedule, so there was no choice but to let bro sell the BTC as well ETH $ETH entered at 2548, spike take-profit at 2600 Secured 52 points, pocketed 1404🔪 BTC $BTC entered at 79993, exited at 80893 Secured 900 points, pocketed 3830🔪 BTC is now stuck in the range around 81,000, while ETH is stuck around 2600 and showing signs of stabilizing. It looks like they are preparing to surge toward the previous highs of 82,800 and 2666, so continue opening long positions on dips. #日股地产电力半导体板块走强

Today's market action was exceptionally clean, steadily rising along the trend throughout the day without giving any chance to pull back. Those who guessed the top and went short must have had a rough time today. The volume-price breakout of a key level in the early session set the main tone — only go long with the trend, and don't go against it by guessing the top. Build positions in batches on pullbacks, take profits in batches at target levels, keep the rhythm right, and the returns will meet expectations. As The Art of War says: “The skillful warrior seeks victory from the situation rather than demanding it from his men.” The market is always right. Instead of stubbornly trying to force it back in your preferred direction, it is better to calm down and understand the language of the trend. There is a Qi proverb: “Though one may possess wisdom, it is better to take advantage of the situation; though one may possess farming tools, it is better to wait for the right time.” The wisdom of our ancestors never goes out of date when applied to candlestick charts. Brother An often says that there are different levels of strategy. The lowest level is guessing the top against the market, relying entirely on luck; the middle level is following the trend and adhering to the rules, building steadily; the highest level is acting according to the situation and taking only the profits within one's understanding. Recently, many friends have said that they feel at a loss whenever they encounter a one-sided market: either they miss the boat and dare not get on, or they stubbornly fight the trend and get trapped. Ultimately, they still do not fully understand the “trend.” On the road of trading, working behind closed doors can easily lead to tunnel vision. More communication and exchange are needed to sort out the logic more clearly. Those who understand will understand; anyone who wants to further refine their trend-trading system is always welcome. The road ahead is long and arduous. In trading, only by acting with the trend can one move forward steadily and go far. $BTC $ETH