7.28 BTC Morning Analysis From the Bollinger Band structure, the price has been continuously capped near the upper band at $65,817, followed by a smaller pullback. The middle band at $64,921 has shifted from support to short-term resistance. Notably, the three RSI lines show a clear bearish arrangement: the extremely narrow gap between RSI6 (18.0) and RSI24 (36.1) indicates that short-term oversold conditions have not triggered medium-term buy-side follow-through. Instead, it suggests downside momentum is transferring from the short-term to the weekly level. The daily MACD is about to see a second opening of a dead cross below the zero line. Combined with the 4-hour OBV energy flow making continued new lows, the current rebound is more like a pullback confirmation after breaking the rising trendline. If the price cannot reclaim $65,100 within 24 hours, the lower Bollinger band at $64,026 will face a test; after a breakdown, the theoretical measured move points to around $62,350, matching the Fibonacci 1.618 extension level. It is recommended to watch for bearish position-increase signals after the funding rate turns positive, and to place defensive short orders when the price returns to the middle band. Trading suggestion: 64,300-64,800🈳, target 62,300-62,800.$BTC $ETH

The earlier part of the price action looked pretty strong, but in reality every time it surged up, people kept selling into it, and the price simply couldn’t hold. Honestly, at first I was also worried I’d read it too early—after the short around 0.4076 showed up, the market then kept pulling back and tugging for a few rounds, almost grinding my patience away. The most critical change was this: after the rally-to-peak and pullback, it didn’t quickly reclaim like it had before. Instead, it went weaker wave after wave. The move went from 0.4076 down to 0.325, and the final result came back at +1437.91%. This short wasn’t based on guessing—it was held only after the real selling pressure finally loosened. A lot of people see the drop and then try to chase it, but usually they run into a rebound as soon as they get in. For me, this time felt more like a reminder: you can look short from the high, but you must wait until the market exposes the problem—don’t let yourself get carried away by the first big bearish candle. $BTC $ETH

Didn’t do anything—just went to the restroom. When I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me. After I finished lunch and checked the chart, $APT had already pulled back from the highs, and the speed was even more decisive than I’d expected. Back when it was whipsawing repeatedly in the session, I noticed that every time it bounced, it was really hard work. The buy-side didn’t keep following through, and the volume couldn’t match either—once it pushed up near a key level, it weakened again. That detail made me judge that what looked like sideways action was more like a fantasy left for the bulls; the real follow-through just wasn’t there. When I saw APT fail to break through again around 0.9197, I executed a long position on the spot. I didn’t chase the red candles—I just waited for it to show its fatigue on its own. At this moment, the price is at 0.5904. The post-trade review is already in: +2537.48%. First, sell off 80% to lock in the results, and keep the remaining 80% holding; move the protection level back to around the cost line. If there’s another drop, let the profits extend naturally; if it suddenly rebounds, I won’t turn the gains into a situation at a key level. Panic is because there’s no plan. Loss is because you think too much. Chasing orders can easily get you hung up at the mountaintop. Right now isn’t suitable for emotionally topping up short positions with more empty positions. Wait for the next shot—after a new structure is confirmed. The market isn’t short of opportunities; what it lacks is patience. $BTC $ETH