8.1 Big Pie short-term analysis Analysis: Short near the 63,400–63,800 rebound zone, keep 64,250 as defense, target 62,800–62,000. Looking at Big Pie on the 15-minute chart, the market pulled back and the low briefly touched 62,490 before stabilizing and consolidating. The current price is slightly rebounding and repairing. Overall, the bearish positioning caused by the earlier downtrend has not reversed; the resistance zone above is clearly suppressing the price. This rebound is only a pause during the ongoing decline process #USD1持币生息最高8% $BTC ‌

Investment mindset｜What most easily makes people lose money might be: “Trying to earn your money back” After you lose money investing, the most dangerous sentence might be: “I need to make it back quickly.” Because at this point, you’re no longer investing—you’re chasing losses. You originally only planned to put in 100U, but you lost 20U. To make back the 20U, you start adding positions, using leverage, and even accepting risks you wouldn’t have touched in the first place. In the end, the loss of 20U could turn into 50U or 100U. The market won’t suddenly become friendly to you just because you want to turn things around. So the truly mature approach is sometimes to pause. First protect your principal, then think about the next opportunity. You can earn money slowly, but the risk of one uncontrolled setback may take a long time to recover from.#USD1持幣生息最高8% $BTC ‌ $ETH ‌

8.1 BTC early-morning analysis: BTC, around 63,000/63,500, gradually opens positions in batches of lightly “cang kong,” with targets looking toward 62,500/62,000. If you want to do lightly “cang duo,” you can gradually open positions in batches of lightly “cang duo” around 62,000; the stop loss is 61,800, with targets looking toward 63,000/63,500. On the daily timeframe, yesterday’s K-line pattern released a clear “kong tou” signal: a long lower shadow and a large bearish candle indicate that although there was some “zi jin” dip-buying during the down-iteration process, the “duo tou” lacked the strength to reclaim the lost ground; after the close, the consolidation worsened with a sharp pullback. In the short term, sell pressure has not been fully cleared, and any rebounds are merely deceptive “duo” repairing. When extended to the monthly timeframe, this current larger-scale downtrend cycle began from the 2025 November high. The July rebound is only a technical repair within the down-iteration process; overall, prices remain under pressure below the long-term moving averages, and the medium-to-long-term “kong tou” pattern has not undergone a fundamental reversal. The 4-hour technical indicators further verify the “kong tou” strength: the MACD’s two lines are operating below the zero axis under pressure, the dead-cross structure continues to widen, and the “kong tou” energy histogram keeps expanding in volume, indicating that the down-iteration space in this round still has room to continue; however, short-term rebound space is limited. $BTC #美联储维持利率不变 ‌