$SOL holding firm near 119.4 after rejection from the 123.79 high. Price is compressing above the 117.13 sweep, and buyers are defending structure. EP 119.0 – 119.4 TP TP1 121.0 TP2 122.0 TP3 123.79 SL 116.5 Liquidity was swept at 117.13 and price reacted with a clean recovery. Higher lows are building on the 1h, and a hold above 118.0 keeps the bullish structure intact. Let's go $SOL ‌

$SOL The coin is currently experiencing a slight decline of -2.21%, bringing its price to $119.37. Despite these daily fluctuations, technical analysis and monitoring support and resistance levels remain key to making smart investment decisions. What are your expectations for $SOL 's upcoming direction? Do you see it as a buying opportunity or do you prefer to wait? 💬👇 ​#Solana #SOL #Crypto #Trading #USDT #عملات_رقمية #Trading ‌

#美联储10月加息概率降至17% 【Old Leek Watch】$BTC$BTC has been like a TV series these past two days—the news needs to be viewed in sequence. After the release of the U.S. September nonfarm payrolls data, market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October changed suddenly. CME FedWatch showed that the probability of an October rate hike briefly fell to 17%. In other words, the market has significantly reduced its pricing for the Fed to continue hiking rates in October. Before the payrolls data was released, that probability was still around 28%. Why such a major change? Because the U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September. The market had originally expected about 90,000. The unemployment rate also rose from 4.1% to 4.2%. The labor market is clearly beginning to cool. So the market's logic is now very simple: weaker employment means less need for the Fed to continue hiking rates, October rate hike expectations are falling rapidly, and risk assets are getting some breathing room. BTC did surge immediately. Its price briefly broke above $87,000. But here is the question: if the probability of a rate hike has fallen to 17%, why did BTC drop back from around $87,000? Because what the market is truly worried about has not been fully resolved. That is, long-term U.S. Treasury yields. A decline in near-term rate hike expectations does not mean the cost of long-term U.S. borrowing will immediately fall. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains above 5%. So the market is actually trading two completely different things: on one hand, the Fed may no longer raise rates in the short term. On the other hand, the U.S.'s long-term funding costs remain very high. This also explains why BTC did not continue breaking higher after surging to $87,000. So what I am watching most closely next is not “whether rates will actually be raised in October.” It is whether the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield can genuinely continue to decline. If employment continues to cool while Treasury yields also begin to fall significantly, that would be a more comprehensive positive for BTC. But if only the rate hike probability declines while Treasury yields remain above 5%, BTC will still face pressure overhead. So what the market is really trading this time is not a 17% figure. It is this: the Fed's rate hike expectations are beginning to ease, but have U.S. dollar funding costs actually eased? $ETH $SOL