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The situation in the Middle East has sharply deteriorated recently, with the hostile actions between Israel and Iran clearly escalating, putting the entire region in a state of high tension. This apparent regional confrontation actually involves a multi-faceted contest over the global economic landscape, the international financial system, and the political map of the United States.
First of all, from a historical perspective, the antagonistic relationship between these two countries has deep roots. Iran has long provided support to armed organizations opposing Israel, such as Hezbollah and Hamas, while Israel views Iran's nuclear program as a serious threat to its national survival. This is not just a conflict of beliefs and nationalities, but also an intense struggle for regional dominance.
The immediate triggering factors of the current conflict, apart from the long-standing hostile attitudes between both sides, are closely related to Israel's continuous attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel believes that Iran's development of nuclear capabilities poses an unacceptable security threat, thus adopting a preemptive strategy. At the same time, international negotiations regarding the Iranian nuclear issue have repeatedly stalled, exacerbating mutual suspicion and further deteriorating the regional security environment. Although the United States publicly calls for a peaceful resolution to the conflict, it is actually providing strong support to Israel on both military and diplomatic levels.
From the situation within Iran, the country is facing severe economic challenges brought about by international sanctions and increasingly sharp social conflicts. The ruling authorities are under tremendous internal pressure, which to some extent restricts the scale and intensity of their external military actions. Although Iran possesses certain military capabilities, its prospects for war remain uncertain when facing Israel's precision strike capabilities and the US-Israel military alliance.
On a global level, the Middle East, as a major producer of oil and natural gas, has seen this conflict lead to a significant rise in international oil prices, which in turn intensifies global inflationary pressures. The increase in energy prices directly impacts the cost structure of transportation and manufacturing, ultimately passing these additional burdens onto consumers and affecting the global economic recovery process.