#我的七夕交易分享 Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis — August 15, 2026! Currently around 1879, with the price repeatedly consolidating around the key 1880 level, and short-term bullish and bearish forces tending toward balance. The 1880–1890 range above is a resistance zone, while 1900–1920 is medium-term resistance; below, 1850–1860 is a support zone tested multiple times recently, and 1830–1845 is the next line of defense. The risk-reward ratio for chasing shorts is currently average, while chasing longs also lacks breakout confirmation. It is recommended to wait for the key levels to be decisively won or lost before taking action. Strategy 1: Enter a short on a rejected rebound: 1880–1890, with a 15-minute rejection signal Stop-loss: Above 1905 Take-profit: 1850–1860 / 1830–1845 Position size: No more than 10% Strategy 2: Enter a long at support: 1850–1860, with a stabilization signal on the 15-minute chart or above Stop-loss: Below 1840 Take-profit: 1880–1890 / 1900 Position size: No more than 5% Strategy 3: Enter a long on a breakout: Hold above 1900 with increased volume (a 1-hour candle closing above 1900) Stop-loss: Below 1880 Take-profit: 1920–1950 / 1980 Position size: No more than 10% Main risk: 1880 is the core level determining the short-term direction. If the price holds above 1900 with increased volume, short positions must exit; if 1850 is decisively broken, long positions must stop out. The current price is in the middle of the range, so it is recommended to reduce trading activity and wait for a clear signal that 1880 or 1850 has been won or lost before entering. The above analysis is based solely on public market information available as of August 15, 2026, and does not constitute investment advice. $ETH ‌

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The JPY shorts are still holding the line; once the September rate hike hits, the whole world will have to tremble along Short positions surged to a nine-year high not long ago Every short position, in essence, is a potential forced buyer The death spiral is already turning: As the yen falls to around 160—its weakest level in 40 years—the Bank of Japan is likely to hike rates in September to defend it Carry trades are forced to unwind To buy back yen, you have to sell what you’re holding The first thing sold will be U.S. Treasuries Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries The yield on 30-year Treasuries is already 5.26%, the highest since 2007 With forced selling, yields can surge even higher The U.S. government’s interest on debt alone is already $1.25 trillion a year If it goes higher than that, they truly can’t carry it At that point, the Federal Reserve will have to choose between two options: support the bond market or protect against inflation Most likely, it will support the bond market Trump’s side will also pressure the Fed to do the same The result is continued money printing Middle-class real income gets wiped out Floating-rate debt and small businesses are the first to fail A consumption cliff With lower tax revenue, the deficit gets bigger The global economic crisis kicks off directly Don’t forget: Japan is almost 100% reliant on imported oil, and it still has to pay for it in dollars That’s a structural sell pressure on the yen—not something a couple of interventions can fix Two weeks ago, the U.S. and Japan jointly intervened, and the yen popped up But now it has already given back half The market simply doesn’t believe This round is different from beforeIran is still on fire; with China facing pressure from the tech race, oil prices are heading higher, and consumer confidence is already worse than at the peak of the Great Depression The situation is getting worse every day—we don’t know when it will end $BTC ‌$ETH ‌$SOL ‌