The daily chart clearly shows that the market previously experienced a deep decline, with Bitcoin dipping as low as 58605 and Ether falling to 15669. After establishing a temporary bottom, capital gradually flowed back into the market, triggering a sizable corrective rebound. In this short-term swing, we caught the rhythm, opening long positions in Bitcoin at 77091 and Ether at 2424. Despite the choppy market conditions and repeated intraday wicks, we withstood the disruption and successfully locked in short-term profits.
Short-term gains are only a small part of the profits from this market move. From a medium- to long-term perspective on the daily chart, this rebound has not ended. Bitcoin’s medium-term target is around the previous high of 82000, while Ether’s medium-term target is around 3000. It is important to recognize reality: a medium- to long-term rise will not be a straight, one-sided move upward. Multiple sharp pullbacks will occur along the way, and back-and-forth volatility of hundreds to thousands of points will become the norm. Many holders will lose confidence during corrections and be forced to sell at a loss, missing out on the eventual profits from the major swing. The daily chart shows that after the rapid price rise, trading volume also expanded, releasing bullish momentum. However, heavy overhead supply from historical trapped holders remains, so resistance along the way up will be significant.
Bitcoin’s overall larger-cycle structure is a choppy upward trend following a low-level reversal. Its core medium-term target is the previous high around 82000‑82200, which is also a historical resistance level on the daily chart. The current price is 77375, leaving considerable room to rise before reaching the target, but pullbacks and shakeouts will inevitably occur along the way. The key strength/weakness dividing line is 76500. If the daily candle closes and holds above 76500, it indicates that the medium- to long-term bullish structure remains intact. Pullbacks will therefore present opportunities to establish positions, and the conditions for a move toward 82000 will remain in place. If the daily candle decisively breaks below 76500, it means that this rebound structure has been damaged and bullish momentum has been interrupted. The medium-term target of 82000 will need to be postponed, and the market will enter a moderate correction, making it unsuitable to continue holding long-term long positions. The short-term resistance range is 77700‑78057, where repeated struggles are likely and a spike followed by a pullback may occur. Even if the broader direction is bullish, do not blindly chase highs at resistance.
Ether’s rebound is stronger than Bitcoin’s, with greater explosive momentum in this move. The medium-term target is around 3000, while the current price is 2448, leaving substantial room to rise before reaching the target. However, volatility will be even more violent, with price swings more dramatic than Bitcoin’s, creating a greater psychological test for holders. The core defensive level is 2390. As long as the daily price remains above 2390, the medium- to long-term bullish thesis remains valid, creating an opportunity to advance toward 3000. If the daily candle breaks below 2390, the rebound trend will be considered damaged, the medium-term target of 3000 will be put on hold, and a deep pullback will follow. Short-term resistance is at 2460‑2485. A short-term pullback is likely if the price spikes into this range. Long-term holders can partially reduce their positions here to ease the pressure of holding, but taking a long-term view does not mean stubbornly holding on. While remaining bullish on the broader direction, defensive levels must be set. Sharp pullbacks are normal, but once the defensive level is lost, the market must be reassessed decisively—do not stubbornly endure losses.
8.24 Swing Strategy
Bitcoin: Wait for a pullback to the 76500‑76000 range, then establish long-term long positions after the daily chart shows signs of a bottom and stabilization. Do not chase rising prices at highs. Target: around 82000
Ether: Wait for a pullback to the 2390‑2400 range, then establish long-term long positions after the daily chart forms a stabilization pattern. Target: around 3000