Crypto Expert: 10.8 Ethereum (ETH) has heavily trapped holders at multiple price levels, while profit-taking positions continue to exit—why is the rebound proving so difficult?
Ethereum is currently at 2565. After this large bearish candle, how many people were still dreaming of a surge to 2800 last night, only to wake up this morning trapped at the top? I'm telling you, this is how the market works: when prices rise, everyone is Buffett; only when prices fall do you find out who's been swimming naked. From 1800 to 2800, it rose by nearly $1,000, so isn't a pullback perfectly normal? The scary thing isn't the drop itself, but falling without knowing why, and having no idea what to do next.
The daily K-line plunged directly from 2696 to close near 2550, down nearly 5%, with one large bearish candle wiping out several days of gains. Technically, the price has already fallen below EMA15, while MACD has formed a death cross at a high level, with DIF crossing below DEA and the short-term bearish signal clear. However, note that although the price has fallen below the lower daily Bollinger Band at 2592, this is often a sign of short-term oversold conditions. The key support below is near EMA30, which is also the upper boundary of the previous consolidation range. The medium-term uptrend on the daily chart has not yet been completely broken; after all, the broader structure rising from 1500 remains intact.
The four-hour K-line is now firmly below all EMA lines, with EMA15 at 2654 and EMA30 at 2673; layer upon layer of pressure is weighing overhead. The MACD green bars are still expanding, indicating that bearish momentum has not yet been fully released. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the price is tracking the lower band at 2586, showing that the short-term trend is weak. This sharp drop may be nearing its short-term end, but don't rush to buy the dip—wait for confirmation from the signals.
Short-term reference:
Long setup: Look for the decline to stabilize between 2500 and 2450, with a stop-loss at 40 points and targets at 2550 to 2600.
Short setup: Look for the rise to stall between 2620 and 2650, with a stop-loss at 40 points and targets at 2570 to 2500.
Specific operations should be based primarily on real-time order book data. For more information, contact the author. This article was published with a delay and is for reference only; assume your own risk. $ETH