Will the Fed Hike Again? The Battle to Defend $83,000 Begins The minutes came out last night, and the market immediately changed course. After raising rates by 25 basis points in September to 3.75%-4%, most officials said they would hike once more this year. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 5.36%, its highest level since 2002. Against this backdrop, it is no surprise that crypto is falling. $BTC is currently around $83,000, with a low near $82,000. $700 million was liquidated over 24 hours, 90% of it from long positions. $83,000 is the only line of defense right now. If it holds, this is the short-term bottom; if it breaks, the next level is the round $80,000 mark. As long as the 10-year yield does not retreat, it will be difficult for BTC to strengthen independently. $ETH H is significantly weaker than BTC, currently around 2,560, down nearly 5% over 24 hours. It has been hammered down from 2,700 without even a decent rebound. If 2,560 breaks, watch 2,500—this level is more dangerous than BTC. In short: Until rate-hike expectations are priced in, do not fight the trend. If you really want to buy the dip, at least wait for Treasury yields to peak and retreat, and for BTC to stabilize above $83,000. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？

$BTC BTC is currently in a phase of tug-of-war between macroeconomic headwinds and key technical support levels The morning move was really weak; the 82,500 level from earlier was breached, and 82,000 is in danger Fortunately, it was only a false break below 82,500 and immediately rebounded. The 82,000 level has temporarily held, serving as the bulls’ last line of defense for now (the weekly K-line’s five-day moving average has not been broken). In the short term, watch resistance around 83,600, followed by resistance around 84,500 Macroeconomic headwinds are weighing on risk assets. The 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.36%, while the Federal Reserve’s September meeting minutes were hawkish, putting global risk assets under collective pressure. This is the core reason for BTC’s recent stagnation. $ETH ETH is currently holding support around 2,530 and has temporarily stopped falling. As long as the broader market does not continue to weaken, there is still a chance for a technical rebound. Short-term resistance is at 2,580; if it breaks through and holds, 2,620-2,640 should be within reach The above is solely my personal opinion and for reference only #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌