ETH/USDT (4H) Trade Plan $ETH ‌#FedHoldsRatesSteady Market Overview Current Price: 1867.97 Trend: Bearish after rejection from 1936.83. ETH is trading below all major short-term moving averages, which indicates sellers still have control. Technical Analysis MACD: Bearish momentum remains active, but histogram size is stabilizing, suggesting selling pressure is slowing. KDJ: Near oversold territory with K and D flattening, which can precede a short-term rebound. Moving Averages: Price is below EMA10 (1876) and EMA30 (1891). A recovery above these levels is needed for bullish confirmation. Support 1 1850 Support 2 1840 Resistance 1 1878 Resistance 2 1892 Major Resistance 1915–1935 Long Trade Setup Entry Zone: 1858–1868 Stop Loss: 1844 Take Profit: TP1: 1878 TP2: 1892 TP3: 1915–1930 Short Trade Setup (Aggressive) Only if a 4H candle closes below 1850. Entry: Below 1850 Stop Loss: 1868 TP1: 1835 TP2: 1815 Trade Management Wait for a bullish confirmation candle or increased volume before entering a long. If ETH breaks and closes above 1892, momentum could accelerate toward 1915–1935. If 1850 fails, downside risk increases toward 1835–1815. Probability Scenario Probability Bullish rebound 40% Bearish continuation 60% Conclusion ETH remains in a 4H downtrend, but the market is approaching an area where a short-term rebound could occur. Conservative traders should wait for a breakout above 1878–1892 before turning bullish, while a break below 1850 would favor further downside.

$ETH ‌ The long/short framework is very clear! Take it and use it directly! 📚Position layout for the first week of August; deep Chan theory (缠论) outlook. Drop a follow. Tonight’s livestream will break it down in detail. It’s also on the homepage with $BTC $ETH $XAU $MU ’s deep outlook… The article is a bit long—please be patient and understand. 😘 1️⃣Although most liquidity recently has been in US stocks, it doesn’t mean there’s no opportunity to trade the “second biscuit” (二饼). The short from 1926 has been hit and eaten countless times. This week still has many levels you can trade! 2️⃣First, from the daily chart level: the 2-sell ➕ type class 2 sell. The downtrend is still there. The class 2 sell has just appeared; the downside structure is still class 2 sell, while whether to treat the lowered rise as “uncertain” is relatively high. But what we can see is that the lower rail 1735 is support, and 1982/2111 are resistance zones. If price reaches them, you can go long/short at these levels. Current coin price is 1866—there’s some distance from support and resistance. If you’re looking to take longs/shorts at a position, anchor the daily framework first, then find the exact levels on lower timeframes. 3️⃣Second, on the 4-hour timeframe, this double bottom is very clear. Although there was a breakout with strong volume through the neckline 1850, there has never been follow-through, and it’s been ranging around 100 points above 1850. So the neckline support at 1850 still holds, and you can still go long. 4️⃣Then, from the 30-minute level: the 2-sell line segment has already met the basic conditions. Below, support is within the structure’s upper rail at 1833. Whether this 2-sell line segment has already finished, or whether it’s currently incubating an upward line segment—uncertainty is high. If it continues to break down, you can try a small long position around 1833. The daily support at 1735 is for adding. Once the 30-minute level shows an upward line segment completing and forming the 3-sell or a class 2 sell, the resistance levels that can be confirmed are 1833 and 1926. Ultimately, look at the key of the upward line segment and whether it can resonate with that resistance before taking profit—after a 3-sell or class 2 sell appears, reverse and short. 5️⃣Putting it all together: for the first-week of August longs, keep 2 lots reserved. Enter lightly around 1850, add at 1735. If you haven’t added, look up to 1883/1926. After adding, look up to 1833/1883/1926. For the shorts, keep a close watch on the 30-minute 3-sell or class 2 sell. Once you confirm the upward line segment has finished, short it. The best short position is still 1926. ⚠️Long-term still bearish. The short-term swing point levels are already anchored in the content above. For more detailed levels, you can only find them by watching the chart. 🥳 #以太坊主网十一周年：十一年不间断运行与生态成就

This isn’t a formal peace agreement—don’t rush to trade “the end of the Middle East war.” Just now, Trump announced that the Gaza peace process has achieved a major breakthrough: Hamas and other armed groups will enter a phased disarmament route, and the IDF will also gradually withdraw from Gaza as the process advances. It sounds a lot like the war is about to end. But drawing that conclusion now is too early. There’s really only one key question: Who acts first? Hamas’s condition is that Israel must first stop the attacks, withdraw troops, and increase aid—only then will it hand over weapons for storage by Palestinian authorities. Israel’s position is exactly the opposite—Hamas must truly disarm first before Israel will withdraw further. And as of August 1, airstrikes are still occurring in Gaza. So: this is an important diplomatic breakthrough, beneficial in the short term for reducing some geopolitical risk, but it’s still a long way from the actual end of the conflict. For the market: $BTC / $ETH : mildly bullish Gold: mildly bearish Crude oil: theoretically leaning bearish, but the impact is limited for a simple reason. What’s truly holding up the Middle East risk premium is no longer just Gaza, but also Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and the entire energy transportation chain. If next we genuinely see “cease attacks + Hamas weapons sealed/stored + the IDF substantively withdraws” all happen at the same time, then that’s when the market should reprice Middle East risk. Until then, I’d rather define it as: peace has taken one step forward, but it’s nowhere near the finish line. ‍#哈马斯与以色列达成停火协议 $BANK