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$BTC There is actually not much to say right now. The market has not established a direction; it is still ranging. On the daily timeframe, wait for a breakdown and reclaim, and remain bullish~
Recently, there is a possibility of breaking below the right triangle. The probability of a breakdown from this pattern is roughly 70%. Remember, market movements are only about probabilities—nothing is 100% certain.
Do not bet on a drop and short directly at the current price. The safer approach is: after a genuine breakdown, wait for a wick into daily support and catch a short-term rebound long. If you want to short, wait for a rebound to the upper resistance levels of 86500 and 2780 before entering.
Do not enter the market at every turn. Manage your position size and patiently wait for key levels; that makes it easier to get the trade right.
For short-term trading, just watch the range highs and lows. That is all you need to do for short-term trades, but stop losses must be used in both directions.
Bitcoin (82500-85800: sell high and buy low) and Ether (2635-2730: sell high and buy low). There is no need to stubbornly focus on the broader trend. Do not mix long-term and short-term approaches.
People with a Bitcoin cost basis of 60k advising those with a cost basis of 80k to hold on actually has little reference value. For long-term trading, follow the long-term approach; for short-term trading, follow short-term signals#比特币升破85200美元
BTC
+0.13%
UncleAlchemy
2026-10-01 00:54
The market has been greedy for more than a month…
Seeing the “Fear and Greed Index” stay above 60 from August 18 to now means the market has been in a state of greed during this period. Yes, this is also the only period of greed in the past year.
This has given Uncle a serious sense of disconnect.
People with different costs are experiencing two completely different worlds.
BTC rose from over $60,000 to over $80,000.
Those who bought at lower levels are already up more than 20%.
Those trapped at high levels are wondering, “You call this a fucking rise?”
Uncle increasingly feels that entry cost is the most critical factor in investing…
I really hope that when the market is greedy, the coins I hold will soon have their turn too👀
BTC
+0.13%
360trader
2026-10-01 00:54
BTC.D sitting at 58.6% (CMC) while ETH is +27% over its 200MA on the 1d and BTC only +17%.
When does that gap close?