8.3 Shiyuan's Monday Review Key-level battle, with bears dominating the market! Outlook: BTC faces resistance at 63600-64200 and is expected to retreat; ETH short at 1885-1920; MU bearish at 855-875; gold short with the trend at 4070-4085. Actual market moves: BTC faced resistance within the range and fell to 62228; ETH retreated to 1820; MU and gold both moved downward as expected. Realized opportunity: BTC offered 1200 points of downside in a single day, ETH nearly 50 points, MU over 50 points, and gold a cumulative 65 points; shorting at high levels with the trend avoided the risk of chasing higher prices. Conclusion: The timing was correct, the call for a weak downward move was precise, and the high-level short bias aligned with the market. For discussion purposes only and not investment advice$BTC $ETH

‍#NFPShockSpikesRateCutOdds 📊🇺🇸 A surprising Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) result can quickly reshape expectations for U.S. monetary policy, and a weaker-than-expected labor-market reading may increase speculation that the Federal Reserve could have more room to consider interest-rate cuts. The NFP report is one of the most closely watched indicators in financial markets because employment conditions influence household spending, economic growth, inflation pressures, and ultimately the Fed’s policy decisions. When payroll growth falls significantly short of expectations, investors may interpret the data as evidence that economic momentum is cooling. If other indicators also point toward softer labor-market conditions, traders can begin pricing in a greater probability of future rate cuts. This can have immediate effects across financial markets, with Treasury yields potentially moving lower while interest-rate-sensitive assets and risk markets react to changing expectations. The relationship between NFP data and rate-cut expectations, however, is not always straightforward. The Federal Reserve considers a broad range of economic indicators rather than relying on a single employment report. Wage growth, unemployment, inflation, consumer spending, job openings, and overall economic activity all contribute to the policy outlook. For crypto and other risk assets, shifting expectations around U.S. interest rates can be particularly important. Lower expected rates can reduce the relative appeal of cash and short-term government securities, potentially encouraging investors to consider higher-risk assets. At the same time, a sharply weaker jobs report can raise concerns about economic growth, creating a more complicated market reaction. The latest NFP shock therefore highlights the powerful connection between economic data and market sentiment. Traders are likely to remain focused on upcoming inflation figures, employment reports, Fed commentary, and other macroeconomic indicators to determine whether the labor-market weakness represents a temporary slowdown or a broader change in economic conditions. 📉 Weaker jobs data can increase rate-cut expectations. 🏦 Fed policy remains dependent on the broader economic picture. 💵 Bond yields and the dollar can react quickly to changing rate expectations. ₿ Crypto and other risk assets may respond as liquidity expectations shift. 📊 The next economic reports could be crucial for confirming the trend. ‍$BTC $ETH

August 10 Overnight Futures Strategy ▫️ETH Short Entry 1950±5 Add position 1990±5 Take profit 1920/1880/1850 Stop loss 2010 ▫️ETH Long Entry 1900±5 Add position 1850±5 Take profit 1930/1950/2000 Stop loss 1830 ▫️BTC Short Entry 66000±5 Add position 67800±5 Take profit 65000/64200/63000 Stop loss 68200 ▫️BTC Long Entry 64200±5 Add position 62600±5 Take profit 65000/66000/67500 Stop loss 62000 Note: Technical analysis is for reference only. 1️⃣Each strategy may only be taken once unless a second entry is announced as valid 2️⃣The posted strategies 【Orders 1-2-3-4】 are intraday range orders, valid throughout the day. If not triggered, they will be automatically canceled at 00:00. Once profit exceeds 60%, move the stop loss to breakeven and hold until the take-profit level If a two-character update is posted, the latest update takes precedence 3️⃣For short-term trades, take full profit at $10–$15【or move the stop loss to breakeven and hold until the second take-profit level 4️⃣Intraday strategies below 60% are counted as losing trades Ultra-short-term trades below 50% are counted as losing trades Unless a market reversal occurs and an early notification to close the position is issued Note: Any market conditions are for reference only and should not be used as a basis for investment. $ETH ‌$BTC ‌