Do you think Bitcoin will fall below $80,000? BTC is repeatedly battling within the $81,000-$83,000 range. The question everyone in the market cares about most: Will the $80,000 threshold be breached? There is no absolute answer; it depends only on how four major variables evolve. Bearish factors: The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is holding above 5.3%, with high risk-free returns continuing to pressure non-yielding crypto assets; oil prices remain around $100, stoking inflation expectations and delaying rate-cut expectations. Spot ETFs continue to see net outflows, while institutional buying is absent. Once the $81,000 defense line is lost, it will trigger a new round of stop-losses and cascading leveraged liquidations. Under a stampede sell-off, testing $80,000 is highly probable. Bullish support: $80,000 is a dual threshold of on-chain holding costs and market psychology, with substantial dip-buying capital lying in wait around this level. If Treasury yields fall, ETF funds flow back in, and price action stabilizes within the current range with buying support, then $80,000 can hold. At this stage, the overall market remains weak. If the price cannot hold above $83,000 in the short term, it will be difficult for the bulls to reverse the decline. Do not try to guess the bottom subjectively or put on a heavy position to buy the dip; wait only for signal confirmation. Going forward, focus on CPI, Fed statements, Middle East oil prices, and ETF fund flows. #BTC #宏观行情 #BullsAndBears

Traveled 80 km round trip to attend an offline crypto meetup; BTC breaks through a key resistance level, with attention on subsequent changes in trading volume

Sister U 10.9 Friday $BTC Strategy Entry conditions: Revisit the 80700–89999 range, with the 4-hour candlestick closing with a long lower wick indicating a halt to the decline, accompanied by increased buying volume providing support; after confirming stabilization, cautiously enter a small long position. Stop-loss: If the price decisively falls below 80000 and the support is completely broken, immediately abandon the long bias and exit. First take-profit target: 82800 Second take-profit target: 84000 Market logic: The market has continued to retreat from the high of 87239, and after bearish momentum was released in concentrated fashion, signs of oversold conditions have emerged on the 4-hour timeframe. After bottoming at 80351 yesterday, it quickly recovered, indicating strong buying resistance at that level. The current rebound is an oversold recovery opportunity following the decline, but heavy moving-average resistance remains overhead. Bulls can only look for a short-term rebound; a reversal cannot be confirmed directly. Funds need to re-enter and provide support when the price retests support for the rebound to have room to continue. Do not enter early to gamble on a bottom before stabilization is confirmed.