Latest BTC and ETH Analysis for Early August 14
Surges and plunges are merely interludes; most of the time, the market silently tests and wears down traders' patience. Looking back at today's intraday action, BTC first traded sideways within a narrow range, then encountered resistance after touching the upper pressure level in the evening, with the low reaching around 628; ETH moved in sync with BTC, probing down to around 1862 at its evening low. Today's bias was short, but I reminded everyone that the intraday range would mostly be limited, while there was also a need to test the 640 resistance upward; if it failed to break through, short directly. BTC reached the target level, while ETH's range was slightly smaller than forecast, but its first target was also reached. Those who followed made a small profit.
Live Trading Setup‖
The setup began in the afternoon. At that time, there was not much room overall on the chart, so I caught one move on each side, then reversed to a short when the evening rebound lost momentum and captured another 500 points. Three moves yielded around 1,300 points in total. I made nearly 20 points on one ETH trade and did not set up any more trades because the volatility was too low.
Analysis‖
Looking at the current chart, on the four-hour timeframe, price formed a relatively long lower wick after probing downward, indicating some support below. Overall, the Bollinger Bands are converging downward, so there is not much room to the downside in the short term. The candle has not closed yet, so we need to observe whether price can effectively break through the short-term resistance above after the close. If it cannot, it will still move down, but given the recent range, both long and short opportunities have been available; the key is whether the entry points can be managed well, although there will not be much room. On the one-hour timeframe, price is consolidating at a low level, leaving room for a rebound in the short cycle. However, this does not mean the market has reversed. After recently consolidating with a slow, modest rise, it was brought down in one move, showing that the bearish trend has not ended. The market should rebound later; in terms of execution, wait to assess the rebound strength before shorting, maintain proper risk controls, and adjust the setup flexibly.
BTC: Short around 636-639, with the target around 628-622.
ETH: Short around 1900, with the target around 1860-1840.$BTC $ETH