$BTC Reviewing yesterday’s strategy, results speak for themselves. Yesterday, I gave long strategies for four coins—mainstream U.S. stocks and two altcoins—and laid out the complete rationale. The market also continued moving upward. Simply following Brother Wei on any one of them would have secured steady gains. Every time, the call is made in advance—not after the market has already moved, like a Monday-morning quarterback.

Nobody is talking about this quiet bullish setup forming right now. $BTC /USDT - LONG Trade Plan: Entry: 83409.19 – 83619.33 SL: 82505.59 TP1: 84270.76 TP2: 84775.10 TP3: 85531.60 Why this setup? Why now? The daily trend is bullish, and the 1h price sits at 83509.51, which is already near the entry zone of 83514.26. The 15m RSI at 39.43 shows the short-term pullback is still healthy and not yet oversold. With the 1h ATR at 420.27858, the next move could easily push toward TP1 at 84270.76 and then TP2 at 84775.10. This trade fails only if the 1h price breaks below the invalidation level of 83069.61. Debate: Are we hitting TP2 or getting trapped? ⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR. Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

U.S. stock futures suddenly started to brake, and what is truly worth watching is not the indexes themselves, but the Treasury yields behind them. On October 1, futures for the three major U.S. stock indexes weakened. Nasdaq futures narrowed their gain from nearly 1.5% at one point to 0.5%, S&P 500 futures were near flat, and Dow futures fell about 0.4%. Looking at the data above, the market’s contradiction is becoming clear: PCE inflation has cooled and expectations for rate hikes have eased somewhat, but the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has risen to 5.33%, its highest level since 2002. This means the market is no longer trading solely on whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates next; it is also pricing in a higher long-term cost of capital. The transmission path is also clear: rising Treasury yields → higher risk-free yields → pressure on U.S. stock valuations → declining risk appetite → amplified volatility in BTC and high-beta altcoins. Therefore, in the short term, do not just watch whether U.S. stocks rise or fall. Pay closer attention to whether Treasury yields have peaked. If yields begin to decline while the Nasdaq regains strength, pressure on risk assets will ease significantly, giving BTC an opportunity to attract buying support again. Conversely, if the 10-year yield continues to hit new highs while U.S. stock futures remain weak, then even if BTC rebounds, investors should guard against a spike followed by a pullback. My view is that the market’s key variable is gradually shifting from “Will rates be cut?” to “Can long-term interest rates come down?” The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report will be an important catalyst, but whether the market can sustain its move will ultimately depend on whether the employment data can prompt Treasury yields to turn lower.