Weekly Summary for August 3–9 It is time for our weekly review again. When I previously reviewed the market for everyone in the livestream, many people said that reviews were not very useful. What I want to say is that a review may often be hindsight, but only through continuous review and reflection can we gain a deeper understanding of market movements. When the same market conditions and the same script arrive next time, we can steadily take profits and exit with a full haul! Overall, this week saw an upward trend, with the market moving higher. It rose from a low of 62268 to a high of 65358. However, compared with last week, the range was relatively subdued, and the intraday market generally moved in a choppy pattern. ETH rose from 1827 to a high of 1943 before coming under pressure. We placed 13 trades this week, all of which were successful, capturing 7281 points of room! On Monday, we went short first and then long. The double-top pattern from last weekend was clearly visible, indicating that a pullback would inevitably follow, but the 62000 level below was extremely solid, so we planned to go short first and then long. First BTC short: entered at 63510, exited at 62816, capturing 694 points Second BTC long: entered at 62727, took profit at 63900, capturing 1173 points On Tuesday, we continued with the long strategy and placed several short-term long trades. Although the movement was slow, the trend was clear. As I said during the livestream, when the range is relatively subdued, short-term setups generate profits much faster and in greater amounts than medium- and long-term setups! First BTC long: entered at 63426, exited at 64087, capturing 661 points Second BTC long: entered at 63533, exited at 64325, capturing 792 points Third ETH long: entered at 1856, exited at 1880, capturing 24 points Starting Wednesday, the daily chart returned to the middle-band area. I had already clearly explained the strategy to everyone: the market returning to the middle band indicates that it failed to break out of the range-bound structure. Therefore, as long as the middle band stabilizes, a return to the upper band is bound to occur! First BTC long: entered at 64181, took profit at 65000, capturing 819 points Second ETH long: entered at 1871, exited at 1911, capturing 40 points Third BTC long: entered at 64012, took profit at 64900, capturing 888 points Thursday and Friday were essentially a continuation of Wednesday’s strategy, so I will discuss them together. In fact, the intraday room for profit was not large. Since my students had entered trades, I kept monitoring the market and ended up waiting for several good entry opportunities. In addition, regarding Friday night’s nonfarm payrolls data, I did not make a prediction about the data, but I did provide a long setup based on technical analysis during the livestream. Before the nonfarm payrolls data was even released that night, the market rose directly to the take-profit level given during the livestream. When the market gives us an opportunity, we just take it! First BTC long: entered at 64479, exited at 64926, capturing 447 points Second ETH long: entered at 1896, exited at 1917, capturing 21 points Third BTC long: entered at 64220, took profit at 64900, capturing 680 points Fourth BTC long: entered at 64215, exited at 65220, capturing 1005 points Fifth ETH long: entered at 1899, exited at 1936, capturing 37 points The above covers all the setups provided this week. These records only cover trades taken by students with large positions; small-position trades are not included for now! The previous post already provided the subsequent technical analysis, so I will not repeat it here. If you are interested, you can click on my profile and take a look! #MoonshotAIPreIPOs开启 $BTC $ETH

8.3–8.9 Weekly Summary and Follow-Up Market Analysis for Bitcoin and Ethereum Review, reflect, and refine our strategy while patiently waiting for the market to break out. Overall market volatility this week was below expectations, with prices remaining in a range throughout and failing to achieve an effective breakout. Bitcoin began a choppy recovery and upward move at the start of the week, but after surging to around 653 on Friday, it encountered resistance and pulled back, failing to refresh its short-term resistance high. Ethereum likewise staged a recovery, rebounding from its early-week low of 1820 to touch around 1943 at its Friday high, with the entire week’s maximum fluctuation only slightly over 100 points. This week’s core strategy focused on shorting rebounds at high levels and arranging long and short positions within the range. In such market conditions, if you only catch a single one-way move, it is difficult to achieve considerable returns amid such narrow fluctuations, folks. Live Trading Setup‖ This week’s live trades were primarily short-term, taking both long and short positions. However, the price range was truly too small: the maximum daily move was often only a thousand points. Bitcoin covered more than 7,000 points of range this week, while Ethereum barely had any setups and still covered nearly 200 points over the week. I also shared my trading ideas with everyone, so those who followed along should have had no problem taking small gains. Strategy Analysis‖ From the current chart perspective, the price remains in a downward channel overall on the monthly timeframe. After falling to around 577, it found support and stabilized. The current range is located at the previous strong consolidation area, with relatively strong support. At this point, judging the long and short direction requires monitoring whether the upper or lower boundary breaks. The short-term chart shows a need for a technical rebound, but it is clearly evident that short-term rebound momentum is seriously insufficient. At the same time, the lower Bollinger Band continues to expand outward, indicating that the medium- to long-term downtrend has not completely ended. Before a breakout occurs, any rebound should only be defined as a recovery move during a decline. Observing the weekly chart structure, after the price completed a double-pin bottom pattern, the market officially entered a crucial long-short dividing point. If the current support range is lost, the market will likely fall further toward the 5-handle, or even the 4-handle. Conversely, if the price stabilizes above support and breaks upward, a new long-term bullish cycle may begin. However, the overall decline was substantial in the earlier period, so even if a bullish recovery occurs, I expect the upside to remain clearly constrained, making a large one-way rally difficult. The crypto market never follows a permanently stable path, and prolonged range-bound trading is itself a test of trading discipline. Profits and losses are normal parts of trading. Only by keeping a steady mindset amid alternating rises and falls can we see the true nature of the chart and seize suitable entry opportunities. Market lows do not last forever; once the adjustment ends, a trending move will naturally arrive. We simply need to organize our trading ideas and patiently wait for swing opportunities. $BTC $ETH

August 9 Market Update: BTC volatility falls to a yearly low, with extremely tight consolidation at 6.48W. How will bulls and bears break the deadlock on the eve of a major move? 📊 Today’s key data: • BTC price: ~$64,750 – $64,850 (extremely tight range over the past 24 hours, with multiple tests of resistance near $64,900) • Volatility indicator: BTC implied volatility has fallen to its lowest level since 2026, while prices remain compressed within the $63,000 – $66,000 consolidation range. • Capital and derivatives: Open interest in derivatives remains elevated, funding rates are near neutral, and holdings display the typical characteristics of “low-volatility, declining-volume accumulation.” 🔍 Today’s in-depth analysis: 1️⃣ Extremely low volatility and the “inverted divergence” in U.S. Treasury yields An extremely rare phenomenon has emerged in the current market: U.S. Treasury yields are fluctuating at elevated levels, while volatility in the crypto market has been compressed to a yearly extreme. Historical experience shows that prolonged low-volatility compression is usually a precursor to a massive one-way move. Extensive turnover in the $64,500 – $64,800 range indicates that both bulls and bears are accumulating momentum for an explosive move. 2️⃣ “Defensive accumulation” by spot ETFs and institutional capital Although retail investors remain highly cautious (the Fear and Greed Index is around 35, in the fear zone), spot ETF flows have emerged from the shadow of heavy outflows in the previous period and are gradually stabilizing. No unusual selling has been seen among long-term institutional holders (LTHs), indicating that major capital is using this period of sideways quiet to complete deep accumulation. 3️⃣ Technical outlook: Tightening weekend liquidity and the critical point for a major move On the 4-hour chart, BTC is maintaining a narrow range above the middle Bollinger Band, the moving averages are tightly converged, and the RSI is near 53, around the bull-bear dividing line. The key short-term focus is whether BTC can break decisively above the strong resistance zone at $65,000 – $65,200 with increased volume. Once it holds above this level on strong volume, short positions above are highly likely to face forced liquidation (Short Squeeze). 📉 Trading strategy: • Support: First support at $64,200; strong support at $63,200. • Resistance: Short-term resistance at $65,000 – $65,200; key breakout resistance at $66,000. • Approach: • Spot: Hold firmly. During the low-volatility, declining-volume bottoming phase, avoid being shaken out of your holdings and wait patiently for the market to choose a direction. • Futures: Strictly guard against wicks in both directions before the market breaks out and makes a major move. Right-side traders are advised to wait for a 4-hour breakout above $65,200 on strong volume and confirmation that it has held before entering long positions; left-side traders may cautiously establish small-leveraged positions defensively if price stabilizes after a pullback to $63,800 – $64,200, while strictly controlling leverage. 💬 Discussion: BTC volatility has crashed to a new yearly low, with the broader market extremely compressed at 6.48W! Do you think the next breakout will surge directly to 6.6W, or will there be a second downside sweep for accumulation? #MoonshotAIPreIPOs开启 $BTC ‌