After a violent surge on the daily timeframe pushed price to a stage high, bullish momentum quickly faded, leading to a sharp pullback. The daily chart formed a long upper-wick candlestick, with heavy volume but stagnant price action at the highs, while funds continued to flow out. The short-term uptrend has come to an end, and price rapidly retraced from the highs, directly breaking below yesterday’s upward support. The market has shifted from a unilateral rise to a high-level correction pattern. This is currently a deep shakeout following the sharp rally. The daily Bollinger Bands’ upper band has begun to turn downward, while the MACD red bars have shortened noticeably, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Bitcoin came under pressure and pulled back from the highs after its earlier surge on the daily chart, with the current price at 76073. Strong resistance above lies at 77500‑77900, which is both the high zone of this surge-and-pullback move and the area where trapped positions are concentrated; selling pressure will be heavy if price rebounds to this range. The key support below is 75580, today’s intraday low. If this level is lost, the daily correction will open up further, with the next support around 74000. Only a renewed high-volume move that stabilizes above 77900 on the daily chart can bring the market back into a strong bullish trend; for now, there is no such signal. Ether also followed Bitcoin in surging before pulling back, forming a long upper wick on the daily chart. It has greater volatility and has fallen more sharply than Bitcoin, with the current price at 2388. Resistance above lies at 2440‑2470, the previous consolidation range, where a rebound is likely to face pressure. Support below is 2355, today’s low; once it breaks, downside room will open up, with the next support around 2260. Ether is a highly volatile asset, and when Bitcoin weakens, Ether is more likely to accelerate downward, making it difficult for it to strengthen independently. Given the current high-level correction, a pressured pullback after a rebound is more likely. After a major rally, profit-taking positions have largely exited, and the market is now undergoing a shakeout and recovery following the sharp rise. Even if a rebound occurs, it will mostly be a corrective rebound during the decline, and directly setting a new high again will be very difficult. Only a renewed high-volume recovery of the resistance range above can reverse the current correction pattern.
Sunday afternoon swing-trading strategy
Bitcoin: If the rebound stalls in the 77300‑77700 range and a pressure candlestick appears, enter short; target 74000‑75600.
On a pullback to 75500‑74000, enter long after a confirmed bottom; target 76800‑78000.
Ether: If the rebound meets resistance and weakens in the 2430‑2460 range, participate; target 2300‑2355.
On a pullback to 2350‑2300, enter long after a confirmed bottom; target 2500‑2450.