Nobody is talking about the SHORT setup forming on $SOL /USDT right now. $SOL /USDT - SHORT Trade Plan: Entry: 103.80 – 104.28 SL: 106.32 TP1: 102.33 TP2: 101.19 TP3: 99.48 Why this setup? Why now? The daily trend is range-bound, which often precedes a sharp directional move, and the 1h price sits at 104.04, right inside the entry zone of 103.80 to 104.28. The 1h ATR of 0.949491 tells us volatility is compressed enough to fuel a decisive breakdown, while the 15m RSI at 45.5 confirms bearish momentum without being overextended. The plan targets TP1 at 102.33 and TP2 at 101.19, but the line in the sand is the invalidation level of 103.78. Debate: Are we cleanly hitting TP2 or is this range about to trap the shorts? ⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR. Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

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The $100 level held, but a “rent bomb” is hiding on-chain $SOL The $100 level has more or less been welded in place, but this time it’s not just an upgrade narrative—fundamentals and potential selling pressure are offsetting each other. The first phase of the “Rent Reform” went live on September 3. In theory, it could eventually release approximately 3.08 million SOL in rent balances. This isn’t a one-time airdrop, but it is indeed a potential increase in liquidity, and the market will need time to digest it. The good news is that this is being offset: validators approved a proposal last week to reduce SOL issuance by approximately 18.9 million over the next six years. On one side, old balances may be released; on the other, future supply will be reduced. Supply and demand are battling it out. Solana application revenue in August was $143 million, with Pump.fun accounting for 40%. Ecosystem revenue is real money, but the heavy concentration in a single application also poses considerable risk. My approach: continue holding in the 100–102 range, with a stop-loss at 96. If it breaks above 105 on strong volume, add to the position and target 109–110. If it fails to break through, reduce the position around 103. Both bulls and bears have arguments at this price level, so don’t take a heavy position.