SOL 4-hour short signal—dare to follow? $SOL /USDT - Short SHORT Trading plan: Entry: 100.94 – 101.60 SL: 104.48 TP1: 98.86 TP2: 97.25 TP3: 94.85 Why watch this setup? - $SOL /USDT is currently quoted at 101.27, with a 4H SHORT signal and 55.4 confidence, looking for a breakout while ranging. - RSI (15M) is 63.58, indicating short-term overbought conditions and increasing pullback pressure; ATR is 1.34, with moderate volatility, suitable for trend-following. - Entry at 101.27, TP1 at 98.86 (-2.4%), TP2 at 97.25 (-4%), SL at 104.48, with a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.3. - Why now? The 1D trend is moving sideways, while a 4H bearish signal has emerged—this is the window to try shorts near the top of the range. Discussion: Will this move hit TP1 first, or directly fake a breakout and squeeze the shorts?

The buy-in $SOL I told you about yesterday took off today, guys 🚀 Did you manage to catch this move? $SOL This coin is seriously strong, surging 25% in seven days and reclaiming the $100 mark. Shorts worth $80k were liquidated, forcibly pushing it higher. Although the momentum isn't as strong today, with some short-term profit-taking underway, the trend is right there—SOL is only ever late, never absent 👊 Now let's talk fundamentals: all kinds of stocks are rushing onto the blockchain—SNDK, SKHY, and MU are all running on Solana. Solana alone accounts for 97% of the trading volume in tokenized stocks on-chain. This narrative is nowhere near short of stories, and the RWA sector is still in its early explosive-growth phase, with SOL directly benefiting as the underlying public blockchain. On top of that, the broader market itself is strong, with BTC just breaking through the $80k mark, lifting sentiment across the entire crypto market 🔥

The $80k “Real or Fake Breakout”: Is This the Bull Market Restarting or a Bear Trap? BTC has just completed a “blitzkrieg”—surging 23% within a week from a low of approximately $62,400 on August 15, briefly breaking above $81,000 to hit its highest level since mid-May. And then? A hotter-than-expected inflation report landed, sending the price back down by approximately $3,000 within hours. As of today (August 27), BTC is fluctuating between $78,500 and $79,000. It cannot rise, but it is not falling very far either. Is this rally the bugle call of a bull market, or a bear trap? Data from Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33 Research: On August 19, the amount of Bitcoin short positions liquidated in a single day reached $1.37 billion—nearly twice the previous record of $757 million set in July 2021. On August 21, another $739 million in short positions were liquidated. Spot and perpetual futures trading volumes surged 188% week over week. In plain English: A considerable portion of this 23% gain did not come from “people wanting to buy,” but from “short sellers being forced to buy.” This is not the bulls attacking; it is the bears surrendering. After massive deleveraging, the notional open interest in perpetual futures has fallen to 284k BTC, the lowest level since May. Funding rates have also returned to neutral. What does that mean? The shorts that were going to be liquidated have already been wiped out. Those remaining either have small positions or left long ago. A short squeeze is like pouring gasoline on a fire—the gasoline has burned out, so how much longer can the fire keep burning? Further gains will require genuine buyers to take over, rather than prices being driven by forced stop-losses from short sellers. So the question is: Have the genuine buyers arrived? Last week, 13 US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $1.92 billion, setting the highest weekly record since October 2025. Cumulative inflows in August have reached $2.72 billion, making it the strongest monthly performance of the year. BlackRock’s IBIT alone absorbed $1.3 billion. $1.92 billion is a beautiful number. But the key question is—is this “chasing-the-rally money” or “trend money”? What is the difference? Chasing-the-rally money rushes in after seeing prices rise and leaves once prices stop rising. Trend money believes in the underlying logic and is willing to withstand volatility. Today (August 27), BlackRock’s IBIT recorded another $200.8 million in inflows. Fidelity’s FBTC also saw inflows of $25.6 million. Money is still coming in. But the pace of inflows has clearly slowed. After tomorrow’s options expiry, will this money continue adding to positions or take profits? Tomorrow, $6.4 billion worth of options will expire—is $80k a “magnet” or a “ceiling”? This is currently the market’s biggest uncertainty. At 16:00 Beijing time on August 28, approximately 81.7k Bitcoin options on Deribit will expire, with a notional value of approximately $6.44 billion. There are approximately 44,639 call options and 37,061 put options. Here is the key information: The max pain point is around $68,000 But call option positions are highly concentrated at the $75,000 and $80k strike prices The notional value of options within 5% of the current price exceeds $500 million This means market makers hold a large number of hedging positions. Around expiration, they will need to unwind these hedges, creating enormous buying and selling pressure. If the price can remain above $80k, a large number of call options will become in the money, buyers will profit, and market makers will be forced to buy BTC for hedging—this will accelerate the upside. If the price falls back below $75,000, the call options will become out of the money, and market makers will unwind their hedges—this will amplify the downside. The $68,000 max pain point is like a distant mirror, while $75,000–$80k is the real battlefield. Is $80k a magnet or a ceiling? We will find out tomorrow. There is one more thing that many people have overlooked. Data from CryptoQuant shows that after Bitcoin touched $80,000, the intensity of profit-taking by long-term holders has already become significantly higher than that of short-term holders. Those “old retail investors” who bought at lower levels and held on for months or even years are actively cashing out around $80,000. This is not panic selling. It is rational people making rational choices. Do you think they will sell at the start of a bull market, or at the top of a rebound? Putting all of the above together— If: ETF inflows continue (this week’s data remains positive) Options pass smoothly (with no crash triggered by massive hedge unwinding after expiration) The price holds above $78,000 → Trend recovery confirmed. This rally is supported by genuine buying, not merely short covering. If: ETF inflows slow significantly or even turn negative Options expiration triggers massive selling pressure The price falls below $74,000 → The rebound has ended for now. This is merely a “fireworks show” amplified by a short squeeze and macro news. Many people see a 23% gain and shout, “The bull market is back!” They see $80,000 and shout, “A new high!” But they have not seen that the $1.37 billion in short liquidations is unsustainable. Short sellers cannot give you $1.37 billion in liquidations every day. One-time fuel cannot burn a permanent flame. A real bull market relies on sustained buying, sustained conviction, and sustained capital inflows. Not on short sellers being forced to surrender. What does the market resemble right now? It resembles an army that has just won a major battle—the enemy has retreated (the shorts have been wiped out), but logistical support (ETF capital) has yet to catch up, and there is still a fortress ($6.4 billion in options) ahead waiting to be conquered. Winning one battle does not mean winning the entire war. After tomorrow’s options expiration, the market will provide an answer. But before then, do not let the 23% gain go to your head, and do not let a $3,000 pullback scare you into panic. $80,000 is not the destination; it is the examination room. There is only one question on the exam: Is this rally a gift from the bears, or momentum built by the bulls?#英伟达财报周 #老用户1BTC回归礼 #五大联赛赛前预测官 $BTC $ETH $SOL