Based on the latest market dynamics as of April 26, 2025, and the real-time行情 of Ethereum (ETH), combined with technical analysis and the impact of sudden events, the following trading strategy is formulated.
Core strategy and points 1. Short at resistance level - Entry Conditions*: Price rebounds to the resistance area of $1,815-$1,838, combined with a death cross on the 1-hour KDJ or long upper shadow signal (if it breaks the previous high of $1,838, it will be invalidated). - Target: Pullback to $1,770-$1,735 (short-term support zone), if broken then look for $1,680. - Stop-loss: Set above $1,840 to guard against false breakout risks.
2. Support level rebound to go long - Entry conditions: Price stabilizes within the range of $1,700-$1,730 (supported by 4-hour EMA200), combined with RSI oversold (<30) or an increase in volume signal. - Target: Bounce to $1,770-$1,800, take profit in batches after breaking through. - Stop loss: strictly set below $1,680, with risk controlled within 3%.
3. Breakthrough Follow-up Buy - Entry conditions: If the price stabilizes at $1,840 (previous high resistance), a 1-hour close is needed to confirm an effective breakout, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate must rise above 0.019. - Target: Short-term outlook towards 1,879-1,900 USD (weekly Bollinger Bands upper band), aiming for 2,000 USD after a breakout. - Stop Loss: Move dynamically up to below $1,800 to protect profits.
Market risks and associated factors - Breaking news: The arrest of a key figure in the cryptocurrency space has triggered market panic, with ETH experiencing a decline of 4.1% between 10:00-11:00 AM (UTC) on April 26; it is important to be cautious of short-term liquidity risks. - Technical signals: The 1-hour MACD shows a bearish crossover, and the RSI has dropped to 41 (oversold area). A short-term rebound is possible but needs to confirm volume support. - Capital flow: Institutions continue to increase their holdings of ETH through ETFs (e.g., Fidelity's single-day inflow of 1,749 ETH), but the drop of BTC below $80,000 may drag ETH into a correction.
Position and Risk Control - Total position: ≤50%, single leverage ≤3-5 times, avoid heavy betting. - Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set stop-loss; if ETH falls below $1,680 or BTC loses $80,000, decisive exit is required. - Replenishment plan: If the price drops sharply below $1,650, reserve 30% of funds to gradually enter the market, betting on a technical rebound.
Summary ETH is currently in a fluctuation range of $1,700-$1,840, mainly focusing on high selling and low buying during the day. If it breaks through $1,840, you can increase your position accordingly; if it faces resistance, consider shorting. Pay attention to the correlation with BTC and the impact of unexpected events, strictly implement stop-losses to avoid chasing highs and selling lows. #Gate.io 创始人12 周年公开信##MemeBox2.0 全新上线##加密市场反弹##BTC##PI#
The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
Based on the latest market dynamics as of April 26, 2025, and the real-time行情 of Ethereum (ETH), combined with technical analysis and the impact of sudden events, the following trading strategy is formulated.
Core strategy and points
1. Short at resistance level
- Entry Conditions*: Price rebounds to the resistance area of $1,815-$1,838, combined with a death cross on the 1-hour KDJ or long upper shadow signal (if it breaks the previous high of $1,838, it will be invalidated).
- Target: Pullback to $1,770-$1,735 (short-term support zone), if broken then look for $1,680.
- Stop-loss: Set above $1,840 to guard against false breakout risks.
2. Support level rebound to go long
- Entry conditions: Price stabilizes within the range of $1,700-$1,730 (supported by 4-hour EMA200), combined with RSI oversold (<30) or an increase in volume signal.
- Target: Bounce to $1,770-$1,800, take profit in batches after breaking through.
- Stop loss: strictly set below $1,680, with risk controlled within 3%.
3. Breakthrough Follow-up Buy
- Entry conditions: If the price stabilizes at $1,840 (previous high resistance), a 1-hour close is needed to confirm an effective breakout, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate must rise above 0.019.
- Target: Short-term outlook towards 1,879-1,900 USD (weekly Bollinger Bands upper band), aiming for 2,000 USD after a breakout.
- Stop Loss: Move dynamically up to below $1,800 to protect profits.
Market risks and associated factors
- Breaking news: The arrest of a key figure in the cryptocurrency space has triggered market panic, with ETH experiencing a decline of 4.1% between 10:00-11:00 AM (UTC) on April 26; it is important to be cautious of short-term liquidity risks.
- Technical signals: The 1-hour MACD shows a bearish crossover, and the RSI has dropped to 41 (oversold area). A short-term rebound is possible but needs to confirm volume support.
- Capital flow: Institutions continue to increase their holdings of ETH through ETFs (e.g., Fidelity's single-day inflow of 1,749 ETH), but the drop of BTC below $80,000 may drag ETH into a correction.
Position and Risk Control
- Total position: ≤50%, single leverage ≤3-5 times, avoid heavy betting.
- Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set stop-loss; if ETH falls below $1,680 or BTC loses $80,000, decisive exit is required.
- Replenishment plan: If the price drops sharply below $1,650, reserve 30% of funds to gradually enter the market, betting on a technical rebound.
Summary
ETH is currently in a fluctuation range of $1,700-$1,840, mainly focusing on high selling and low buying during the day. If it breaks through $1,840, you can increase your position accordingly; if it faces resistance, consider shorting. Pay attention to the correlation with BTC and the impact of unexpected events, strictly implement stop-losses to avoid chasing highs and selling lows. #Gate.io 创始人12 周年公开信# #MemeBox2.0 全新上线# #加密市场反弹# #BTC# #PI#