Market review: Oscillating to build a base, preliminary stabilization

Image:https://www.gate.io/trade/DOGE_USDT

From the recent trend, DOGE price has experienced a continuous pullback from the previous period, hitting a low of around $0.21081, followed by a rapid rebound, and standing on multiple key short-term moving averages within 24 hours.

The price has retraced twice at a low level without breaking, indicating that the market has a certain willingness to take over. The highest price today is $0.22828, although it has not broken the key previous high, it has completed a short-term structural rebound confirmation.

Technical Analysis: W bottom pattern taking shape

The most noteworthy is a relatively standard W-shaped pattern gradually forming in the chart:

• Left bottom: May 17th low of 0.21081;
• Right bottom: On the evening of May 19, the low point did not fall below the previous low;
• Neckline: around the 0.228 area, just touched and pulled back today.

W bottom is a common reversal pattern, which means the market tries to bottom after a decline, and if it can break through the neckline, it may open a new uptrend.

The current price is still below the neckline and has not confirmed a breakthrough yet. A cautious bullish view is a more prudent attitude at the moment.

Rhythm and Psychology: Are the main forces ‘washing’ or ‘sucking’?

In a volatile market, identifying the behavior of the main force is crucial:

• No volume breakout: indicating that the current funds are still in a wait-and-see mode, or still in the process of “accumulation - liquidation”.
• Rapid rise followed by a quick fall: it may be a test of the market’s willingness to chase higher prices, or it may be to attract short-term funds to take over.

Note: It is not advisable to chase highs and sell lows at this time, but to observe whether the market structure is evolving healthily.

Support and Resistance Analysis: Key Range Overview

Combining charts and order book, the following key technical levels can be derived:

• Short-term support level: near 0.224 (previous low support)
• Structural support: 0.221 ~ 0.222 range (moving average support + order book defense)
• Breakthrough resistance level: 0.228 (neckline level, previous high)
• Strong resistance zone: 0.237 ~ 0.238 (significant pullback starting point)

If the short-term price can oscillate above 0.224 and break through 0.228 with increased volume, it is expected to initiate a structural rebound.

Strategy recommendation: How can beginners participate in such a market?

For beginners facing such a ‘fluctuating + potential reversal’ market, it is recommended to consider the following practices:

Can do:

• Focus on whether the neckline of the W bottom breakout (0.228) is on volume;
• Watch to see if 0.224 is a valid support, as a low-suction probing area;
• Set a reasonable stop loss, for example, exit clearly if it falls below 0.221.

Not recommended:

• Buy the rebound immediately upon seeing it;
• Heavy betting on small cycle signals;
• No plan to participate, just buy and sell based on emotions.

It is recommended to use a small position to explore + buy in batches at low points, combined with a dual judgment of “chart + volume”.

Conclusion: Wait for confirmation, be patient and calm

Although DOGE currently shows signs of a reversal, it still lacks effective breakthroughs and volume support. For beginners, this is a very good opportunity for observation and learning. The market situation is still unclear, so it’s more important to maintain rationality and control risk than to blindly enter the market. By observing more, recording more, and being less impulsive, even if you don’t participate in trading, you can improve your chart analysis skills.

Note: All analysis is based on the current chart and order book. It should dynamically track market changes and respond flexibly.