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SanDisk surged more than 15% at one point during the session, Micron rose more than 12%, Seagate and SK Hynix gained more than 10%, and Western Digital climbed more than 8%. Yet just a month ago, SanDisk had fallen 36% since October 1, battered by rumors of an “AI data center slowdown.”

There were two keys to the reversal: one was price hikes—Bank of America cited TrendForce’s view that Q4 DRAM and HBM contract prices would rise another 10%–20% quarter over quarter, while NAND would climb 8%–13%; the other was Morgan Stanley turning bullish, saying orders and sentiment were diverging, risk/re
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MU+12.02%
NVDA+2.99%
The lifestyles of the wealthy are completely beyond my understanding.
I admit, I’m just a frog at the bottom of a well.
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ETH | 2070–2090 short setup, shared in advance yesterday.

The idea shared yesterday was clear: consider shorting ETH if it rebounds to the 2070–2090 range, with a stop-loss at 2110.

As I also said last night, the recent rebounds in BTC and ETH have been driven to a large extent by gains in U.S. stocks. This doesn’t mean the crypto market itself has fully strengthened.

Today, U.S. tech stocks such as NVIDIA and SanDisk pulled back, and ETH came under pressure as well.

That’s why I didn’t blindly chase longs yesterday, but instead chose to wait for a rebound to short.

Market correlations ar
BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
Does a Break Above Resistance Mean a Move Is About to Begin?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people have experienced this:

The price finally breaks through a key resistance level, and trading volume also increases. Traders think a move is about to begin and chase the price, only for it to suddenly reverse and fall back into its original range.

This is what traders often refer to as a “false breakout.”

What really needs to be assessed is not just whether the price has broken through, but whether the market can continue to accept higher prices afterward.

I. What Is a False Breakout?

A fals
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#NVDA
With such major bearish news for Nvidia and such a steep drop, yet the funding rate is still so high. Is it really safe to buy the dip?
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NVDA-0.35%
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I opened my account and my world came crashing down. Everything was fine before I went to sleep, but when I woke up, my money was gone 😂
NVIDIA’s B300s are really worth that much? A single NVIDIA B300 rack is being hyped up to 20 million, with a net profit of 14 million per unit. This compute power market is absolutely insane!

At these prices, moving 5 B300s would put the total over 100 million. A lot of people only know that compute cards are valuable and think they can make easy money just flipping them. But finding a supply channel is really difficult.

On one hand, the global compute shortage is massive, prices are getting more and more outrageous, and gray-market channels are springing up everywhere. On the other, regulat
NVDA-0.35%
Yesterday I said I’d admit I was wrong if 74050 broke through, and overnight it actually pushed past it. US stocks recovered, with the Nasdaq closing up around 1.6% and the S&P 500 up 1.3%. CoreWeave’s results passed muster, and its stock surged around 25%. Bitcoin also rallied through the night, touching 74811 at 5:30 a.m., roughly the high of the rebound during the CPI move the day before yesterday. Unfortunately, it couldn’t hold there, and then turned lower. Around 7 a.m. it plunged to 73480, bounced to just above 74200 in the morning, then slid back. It’s around 73730 now.

The 24-hour hi
BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
SOL-0.74%
$ARIA $ARIA Another trade is moving toward our target. Those who haven't entered can enter now. Our target is 0.115
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ARIA+22.03%
CPI came in above expectations, putting U.S. stocks and BTC under renewed pressure. U.S. market analysis: The Nasdaq rose 1.6%, but rates already have the knife out? The broader market looks euphoric. The Nasdaq rose 1.60%, the S&P 500 gained 1.31%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged 6.85%. CoreWeave’s earnings blew the doors off, sending shares up 24.71%; Micron rose 11.89%, and AMD gained 7.32%. The AI party is back on, and it feels like you’d be crazy not to pile in. But here’s the contrarian angle: everyone is focused on AI, while rates hold the real pricing power. October CPI
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XAU+0.38%
BTC-0.67%
SOXL-1.16%
Why Can a Trading Strategy with a Very High Win Rate Still Lose Money Over the Long Term?

A trading strategy with an 80% win rate sounds pretty impressive, doesn’t it?

But suppose you make 100 trades, win 80 times and earn $10 each time, and lose 20 times and lose $50 each time.

What’s the final result?

Profit: 80 × $10 = $800

Loss: 20 × $50 = $1,000

A final loss of $200, not including fees and slippage.

That’s why you can’t judge a trading strategy by its win rate alone.

I. Why Can a High Win Rate Still Lose Money?

What really determines long-term returns is the relationship between
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Yesterday, over a 24-hour period, I sifted through 40 posts on X: 10 each on AI, Web3, finance, and U.S. stocks.
The most eye-catching one: Everyone in the world is supposedly all in on AI, but Ramp data shows enterprise AI spending rose just 2% in October.
RAMP+0.70%
U.S. stocks just rebounded across the board, but rumors of Jensen Huangs ouster have sparked another
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Cross-chain transfers aren’t as simple as moving coins: 4 questions to understand before transferring

In the Web3 world, cross-chain technology connects assets and applications on different blockchains. But that doesn’t mean assets can move freely between networks without risk.

A cross-chain transaction may involve locking and minting, burning and releasing, liquidity pools, or other cross-chain message verification mechanisms. Different mechanisms come with different trust assumptions and risks.

If you’re preparing to make a cross-chain transfer, it’s a good idea to first understand these
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What Is a DEX? How Is It Different from a Centralized Exchange?

In the Web3 world, there’s more than one way to trade crypto assets.

Some people prefer centralized exchanges (CEXs), while others connect their wallets directly and trade through decentralized exchanges (DEXs).

Both may appear to let you buy and sell tokens, but they differ significantly in their trading mechanisms, who controls the funds, and their risk profiles.

1. How are trades executed?

Centralized exchanges are typically operated by a platform that handles order matching, account management, and maintenance of the trad
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What Is Cross-Chain? How Does It Connect Different Blockchains? Understanding the Value and Risks of Multi-Chain Interoperability, from Technical Principles to Real-World Applications

As the blockchain ecosystem continues to grow, Ethereum, Solana, and other networks have gradually developed their own applications, assets, and developer communities.

However, different blockchains typically have independent state records, consensus mechanisms, and execution environments. Assets or data on one chain cannot necessarily be used directly on another.

This is the problem cross-chain technology aim
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ETH-1.26%
SOL-0.77%
What Would Happen to These 15 AI Stocks If Jensen Huang Really Left Nvidia?
Who could have imagined that Nvidia’s biggest wildcard might actually be Jensen Huang himself
One piece of Jensen Huang gossip after another has surfaced over the past few days. First, he admitted to being unfaithful during his marriage, and the related incident also involved controversy over espionage; then he was reportedly revealed to have had an affair with a female Nvidia executive
Even more explosive, The Wall Street Journal reported that Nvidia’s board is considering replacing Jensen Huang
After the news broke,
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NVDA+2.99%
TSM+4.08%
MU+12.02%
DELL+11.78%
SMCI+9.42%
Fear & Greed Index at 28, with the market in the fear zone. Amid BTC weakness, funds are clearly shifting toward low-volatility assets. $TRX is currently at 0.3174, down just -0.03% over 24h, with trading volume of 17.4M USDT. MA5=0.3172 and MA20=0.31722 are nearly converged, RSI=50.1 is neutral, and the MACD histogram at +5.627e-05 remains bullish. Bollinger Bands [0.316429,0.318011] have narrowed extremely, with a range of just 0.76% across 30 candles—a typical sideways consolidation setup. The key signal is the funding rate of -0.0016%: shorts are paying, yet the price has not broken down,
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TRX+0.42%
Morning market update
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