الأسبوع العملاق يقترب: نظرة مستقبلية للسوق العالمية في ظل البيانات المكثفة والمنافسة الجغرافية

Huitong Finance APP News—— Next week (April 6–10), the United States will release multiple key data related to economic growth and inflation. Coupled with expectations for the U.S.-Iran agreement, the OPEC+ meeting, and policy developments from central banks in various countries, geopolitical events and major economic indicators are intertwined, making it easy to trigger large market fluctuations. From crude oil inventory to global inflation data and the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, each piece of critical information will influence asset pricing. Investors need to closely watch key nodes and respond to potential market changes.

Geopolitical agreement heads to a milestone, with early-week data released in sync

On Monday (April 6), global capital markets are closed, but that day still has three major points to watch: the White House claims it hopes to reach an agreement with Iran before April 6; Saudi Aramco announced its official pricing last Sunday; and OPEC and oil-producing countries will hold a meeting.

In addition, the U.S. will release the March ISM non-manufacturing PMI and the global March supply chain stress index.

Asia-Pacific reserve data released; U.S. inflation expectations draw attention

On Tuesday (April 7), China will release its foreign exchange reserves and gold reserves; the U.S. will release its March New York inflation expectations and expected gold price increases, providing reference for the market’s judgment of trends in precious metals and inflation.

Crude oil inventory data released; central bank decisions and Eurozone consumption data appear

On Wednesday (April 8), the U.S. will release API and EIA crude oil inventory data; and in 2027, FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will deliver remarks on monetary policy.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will release its latest interest rate decision; previously, in February, the bank kept the rate unchanged at 2.25%.

On the same day, the Eurozone will release February retail sales data.

Growth and inflation data released together; Federal Reserve minutes release policy signals

On Thursday (April 9), the U.S. will auction the latest 10-year Treasury note yield rate, allowing observation of the market’s attitude toward inflation and economic growth;

Due to the delayed release caused by the government shutdown, the U.S. Q4 GDP, PCE, and core PCE price index will be released on the day, while simultaneously observing the level of U.S. growth and inflation.

The U.S. will also release initial and continuing jobless claims; in the early hours, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the monetary policy meeting to explain why the policy rate was kept unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% in March.

Multi-country inflation data concludes; consumer confidence guides market sentiment

On Friday (April 10), China will release March CPI and PPI, followed by the publication of social financing and M2 supply conditions; Germany will release March CPI.

The U.S. will release March CPI and core CPI data, as well as the April University of Michigan consumer sentiment index and inflation expectations.

Risk warning

In addition to core economic data, investors also need to focus on three major potential risks: first, progress on the U.S.-Iran agreement and changes in the geopolitical situation in the Middle East may boost risk-avoidance sentiment, benefiting assets such as gold and crude oil; second, if remarks by Federal Reserve officials and the meeting minutes release signals of a policy shift, market interest rate expectations will be quickly revised; third, if Germany and Eurozone inflation data come in below expectations, it may suppress the performance of the euro; fourth, large fluctuations in crude oil inventories may trigger sharp short-term volatility in international oil prices.

(Editor: Wang Zhiqiang HF013)

【Risk warning】According to relevant foreign exchange management regulations, trading foreign exchange shall be conducted at designated transaction venues such as banks as required by the state. For privately trading foreign exchange, in disguised forms trading foreign exchange, buying and selling foreign exchange back-to-back, or illegally introducing large-amount foreign exchange transactions for trading, the foreign exchange management authorities shall impose administrative penalties in accordance with law; if it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued in accordance with law.

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