7.6 Morning BTC/ETH Market Analysis by Shiyuan BTC and ETH are moving in sync, consolidating at highs after consecutive surges. The major bullish trend remains unchanged, and a short-term pullback is needed to digest the gains. ETH → Current 1780 Resistance: 1808, 1790 Support: 1770, 1760 Suggestion: Go long on a pullback to 1770-1772, target 1785-1790, stop loss 1765; short on a rebound to 1790 resistance, target 1775, stop loss 1796 BTC → Current 63454 Resistance: 63990, 64500 Support: 63000, 62600 Suggestion: Go long on a retracement to 62900-63100, target 63800-64000, stop loss 62500; short if 64000 holds, target 63200, stop loss 64300 Overall strategy: Prioritize buying on pullbacks, strictly avoid chasing highs, and trade with stop losses and light positions for every trade! $BTC $ETH

$AAVE’s drop isn’t really about the moment it fell, but about the fact that the previous high couldn’t hold up anymore. At the time, many people were still watching for a breakout; what I saw was that the rebound kept getting weaker and weaker. The higher the price went, the less confidence the active buy orders had. So I entered a short position near 90.22. Now the price is at 88.36, and the profit has already shown +148.64%. For this kind of trade, you can’t wait until everyone understands it clearly before acting. By the time consensus forms, the entry level is usually uncomfortable. For now, I’ve already been following the short-position pace operationally: take profit on 80% first, and keep the remaining 20% to continue observing whether the move can extend further. The protective level must be set at a position you can accept; don’t start getting relaxed just because you’re in profit. To be honest, this wave has already given enough. If you still want to chase now, you’re more chasing emotions than trading. If you didn’t get on board, don’t force your way in. Wait for the next new pressure-tested structure, then take another look. $BTC $ETH

7.6-7.12BTCThisWeek'sLong-termOutlookThisweek,theoverallBitcoinoutlookmaintainsalong-termbearishview.Thepositivesentimentfromthepreviousnon-farmpayrollshasbeenfullydigested.ThereboundintheU.S.dollarandTreasuryyieldsisonceagainsuppressingthemarket.CombinedwithcontinuedoutflowsfromspotETFsandclearinstitutionalreductioninpositions,thisreboundismerelyashort-termcorrectionwithinthedowntrend,notatrendreversal.Thereisnorealincrementalbullishcapitalenteringthemarket.Technically,theresistancezoneof63300–64000aboveisextremelystrong.Multipleattemptstobreakhigherhavefailed,withheavytrappedsellpressure.Bullishmomentumcontinuestoweaken,andindicatorshaveallturnedweak.Thecorelayoutstrategyforthisweekistoshortonreboundsinbatches,withthedefenselevelat64500.Ifthislevelisnotbroken,remainfirmlybearishthroughout.Intradayoscillationstotheupsideareallbulltrapsforcorrection.Thefirstdownsidetargetis61500,andifbroken,furtherlooktothekeywatershedof60000.Onceeffectivelybroken,thisweekwillinitiateadeeperdeclinetothe58500area.Overallrhythm:weakathighs,feeblerebounds.Thisweek,followthetrendwithaprimarybearishstance,ignoreminorfluctuationsandshakeouts,andpatientlywaitforthebearishmovetofullymaterialize.Long-termoperationsuggestion:shortonreboundto638-645,firsttarget615,secondtarget600,ultimatetarget585$BTC $ETH $SOL