China GDP beat and lower oil/yields helping the risk tone this morning. Still sitting near a 5.1% 10-year with a full AI CapEx earnings calendar ahead. Surface looks better, setup underneath hasn't really changed.

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-18

Nasdaq posted its worst week since June, down 4.5% as chips and AI names kept sliding. High yields and questions about who pays for all the data-center debt are showing up in prices. Monday's open will tell if this was profit-taking or the start of something longer.

NDAQ+6.09%

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-14

October hike odds upto 42% post the higher than expected September CPI print

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-11

The PC bang is Korea's greatest cultural export that never exported. $1/hr for top tier rigs, super fast internet, and cheap food delivered to your desk.

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-09

Weekly IG Credit Insights: Issue 04
CPI next Wednesday, with bank earnings starting into an elevated risk free rate. Can OATs hold it together?

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-09

Post-open: equities green across the board (SPX +0.3%) while crypto's still in the red — ETH/SOL off 1.6-2.3% on the day as the security concern related sell off has yet to abate. 10Y ticking up slightly to 5.26% keeps the discount-rate squeeze on. Gold outperforms.

SPX-5.83%

ETH-2.95%

SOL-2.72%

1
1.08k

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-08

Pre-market: Oil keeps climbing, +4.9% on the day after a tanker was hit, upcoming hurricane worries, and continued expectations of escalation with Iran. Crypto continues to be soft after yesterday’s AI related hacking flush. 10y is holding 5.32% with the 30y auction later today.

2
2
2.45k

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-07

Morning open: WTI back above $90 as Hormuz attacks intensify; OATs spiking again (+16bp to ~4.9%) on the French budget mess; FOMC minutes at 2pm. Crypto underperforming with ETH down -4.9%, while equity futures down slightly.

ETH-2.95%

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-06

Tuesday's open: Nasdaq +2.45% over 5 days leads, VIX falling to 15.4, WTI fading -2.9% MTD on traffic thru the strait picking up, and the 10y easing slightly to 5.28% after yesterdays’s rise.

1
2
2.59k

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-05

Monday pre-market: VIX up with contagion risk in focus as S&P futures are close to flat. The worry is France — OAT-Bund spread past 150bp, widest since 2011, after the market shrugged at Lecornu's €54B budget plan.

SPX-5.77%

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-04

Next week’s minutes will show how hawkish the committee was during the hike in September, and the 30y bond auction on Thursday will be important to watch for demand for treasuries after the last auction performed very poorly and added fuel to the sell off

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-03

When the timeline starts bull posting about something you have exposure to $PUMP

PUMP-6.14%

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-02

Rates couldn’t hold a bid today despite a weaker than expected NFP.
This is pointing to the bear trend remaining in tact.
Are HY spreads the canary in the coal mine for what is to come?

NFP-13.91%

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-02

RIP Blast, you had less TVL than everyone's favorite memecoin

BLAST-10.37%

MEME-5.51%

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-02

Markets flashing all clear today with the weak NFP driving price action, almost confirming October rate hike out of the picture but HY spreads are still sitting at the widest since April.
The canary hasn't stopped chirping just because duration caught a bid.
this week's issue ↓

NFP-13.91%

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-02

**Soft print**
SOFT nfp only +29k vs +90k est for payrolls with unemployment up from 4.1% to 4.2% (4.1% exp)
10y relief rally continues as the Fed can now pause in October.

TheTradfiGuy 2026-10-02

Futures bid into NFP after the 10-year tagged 5.34% and then backed off. Hike odds for October cooled, oil slipped under 90 on talk of EU stock releases.
Let’s see if this picture holds in less than 10 minutes

4
1.92k

TheTradfiGuy

Trending Topics

#GateQ3ReportReleased

#MetaEarningsBeatExpectations

#USAIAndCryptoStocksRise

#SpaceXMarketCapSurpassesTSMC

#TeslaQ3ProfitFalls43%

#GateSquareNewCreatorProgram

#GateWCTCS9GlobalTradingCompetition

#SolanaNonVoteTxHits8.92B

#PrivacyNarrativeHeatsUpMASKInFocus

#PHPCriticalVulnerabilityHitsGovernmentWebsites