#PI# 🔴 short positions strategy (probability 65%)

Trigger conditions: Price rebounds to EMA5 (0.64187) or the middle Bollinger band (0.64384) and then falls under pressure, and:

RSI6 remains < 45, and the MACD red bars shorten and then weaken again.

Action: Open a short position with a light position, target the lower Bollinger band at 0.62708, if broken look for 0.600; stop loss above EMA30 (0.650).

🟢 Long positions strategy (30% probability)

Trigger conditions: Volume breaks through EMA5 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (volume > 1 million), and:

MACD forms a golden cross (DIF > DEA) + KDJ golden cross (K > D).

Action: Follow long positions when retracing to the middle track, target Bollinger upper band 0.660, stop loss 0.635 (exit on breach).

⚪ Wait-and-see strategy (probability 5%)

The price continues to oscillate within a narrow range of 0.627-0.644, and there are no resonance signals in the indicators (such as MACD fluctuation < 0.001, KDJ entangled).

 

Core monitoring signal

Catalyst for a trend change:

If the Bollinger Bands open up (upper band ↑ / lower band ↓) + volume surge > 800,000, the direction will be clear.

Indicator Collaborative Verification:

Bullish confirmation: RSI6 breaks above 50 + MACD golden cross + KDJ golden cross.

Short positions strengthen: J value rebounded failure after KDJ death cross + RSI6 broke below 40.

Key Threshold:

Bull-Bear Watershed: 0.644 (Bollinger Middle Band), if it holds, the trend strengthens; if it loses 0.637, the downside risk intensifies.