Trigger conditions: Price rebounds to EMA5 (0.64187) or the middle Bollinger band (0.64384) and then falls under pressure, and:
RSI6 remains < 45, and the MACD red bars shorten and then weaken again.
Action: Open a short position with a light position, target the lower Bollinger band at 0.62708, if broken look for 0.600; stop loss above EMA30 (0.650).
🟢 Long positions strategy (30% probability)
Trigger conditions: Volume breaks through EMA5 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (volume > 1 million), and:
MACD forms a golden cross (DIF > DEA) + KDJ golden cross (K > D).
Action: Follow long positions when retracing to the middle track, target Bollinger upper band 0.660, stop loss 0.635 (exit on breach).
⚪ Wait-and-see strategy (probability 5%)
The price continues to oscillate within a narrow range of 0.627-0.644, and there are no resonance signals in the indicators (such as MACD fluctuation < 0.001, KDJ entangled).
Core monitoring signal
Catalyst for a trend change:
If the Bollinger Bands open up (upper band ↑ / lower band ↓) + volume surge > 800,000, the direction will be clear.
Indicator Collaborative Verification:
Bullish confirmation: RSI6 breaks above 50 + MACD golden cross + KDJ golden cross.
Short positions strengthen: J value rebounded failure after KDJ death cross + RSI6 broke below 40.
Key Threshold:
Bull-Bear Watershed: 0.644 (Bollinger Middle Band), if it holds, the trend strengthens; if it loses 0.637, the downside risk intensifies.
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#PI# 🔴 short positions strategy (probability 65%)
Trigger conditions: Price rebounds to EMA5 (0.64187) or the middle Bollinger band (0.64384) and then falls under pressure, and:
RSI6 remains < 45, and the MACD red bars shorten and then weaken again.
Action: Open a short position with a light position, target the lower Bollinger band at 0.62708, if broken look for 0.600; stop loss above EMA30 (0.650).
🟢 Long positions strategy (30% probability)
Trigger conditions: Volume breaks through EMA5 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (volume > 1 million), and:
MACD forms a golden cross (DIF > DEA) + KDJ golden cross (K > D).
Action: Follow long positions when retracing to the middle track, target Bollinger upper band 0.660, stop loss 0.635 (exit on breach).
⚪ Wait-and-see strategy (probability 5%)
The price continues to oscillate within a narrow range of 0.627-0.644, and there are no resonance signals in the indicators (such as MACD fluctuation < 0.001, KDJ entangled).
Core monitoring signal
Catalyst for a trend change:
If the Bollinger Bands open up (upper band ↑ / lower band ↓) + volume surge > 800,000, the direction will be clear.
Indicator Collaborative Verification:
Bullish confirmation: RSI6 breaks above 50 + MACD golden cross + KDJ golden cross.
Short positions strengthen: J value rebounded failure after KDJ death cross + RSI6 broke below 40.
Key Threshold:
Bull-Bear Watershed: 0.644 (Bollinger Middle Band), if it holds, the trend strengthens; if it loses 0.637, the downside risk intensifies.