Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Tuesday, April 1, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀ hardcore fan daily attendance 👍 Like and make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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🔥🔥🔥Today is the start of the second quarter of 2025 - April 1st. The early days of the crypto market in April will be a roller coaster process, followed by a directional choice. Although Bitcoin and Ethereum have fluctuated significantly, they have remained at their respective support levels and refused deep corrections. Tomorrow is the "4.2" date for the so-called reciprocal tariff implementation by Trump. The next operations should still focus on changes in news and pay attention to Yibo to grasp real-time dynamics.
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🔥🔥🔥 The three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed overnight, with the Dow up 1%, down 4.2% in March and 1.28% in the first quarter; The S&P 500 rose 0.55% and fell 5.75% in March, the biggest monthly decline since October 2022. fell 4.59% in the first quarter, the largest quarterly decline since the fourth quarter of 2022; The Dow fell 0.14% and fell 8.21% in March, the largest monthly decline since 2023; The first quarter fell by 10.42%, the largest quarterly decline since the third quarter of 2022. The Nasdaq 100 fell 8.3% in the first quarter, its worst quarterly performance since the second quarter of 2022. Most of the large technology stocks fell, Amazon, Tesla, and Nvidia fell more than 1%, and Microsoft, Netflix, and Meta fell slightly; Apple rose nearly 2% and Google rose slightly. According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in May is 86.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 13.6%. There is a 24% probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until June, a 66.2% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, and a 9.8% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.
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🔥🔥🔥 After Bitcoin rallied to around 83870 overnight, it came back under pressure, with significant upward pressure and extremely strong resistance. From the current market analysis, Bitcoin's daily line closed the doji positive line, and the first two days of continuous negative closing, the lack of upward momentum, in the absence of macro news stimulus, it is difficult to climb to around 85000. The 4-hour chart shows that although the market experienced a small wave of single yang pull-up, it failed to continue to extend its gains, and began to fall after hitting the range high, with obvious suppression from above. Although the current market bulls have a certain rally, the rebound is not enough to change the overall market trend and cannot effectively break through the pressure range. There was a rapid rebound after multiple pullbacks during the day, but long shadows frequently appeared above, indicating that the market was under obvious pressure. If a breakthrough cannot be achieved in the short term, there is still a risk of retracement in the market. Therefore, it is not recommended to blindly chase the upside, focusing on the breakthrough and stabilization of 84000 above, and looking at the 81200 line of support below.
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🔥🔥🔥Ethereum rebounded after testing the bottom line of 1870, facing resistance at 1850, and then fell back to around 1820 to enter a range-bound fluctuation. After several consecutive bearish daily candles, the price action has eased slightly, not touching the 1750 line again, but the selling pressure above is still significant, with resistance remaining at the 1920 line. In the 4-hour chart, the price rebounded near the middle track at 1850 but faced pressure; although there are signs of a short-term rebound, the strength is weak, and there is still a risk of a pullback. In terms of trading strategy, one could consider trying to short if the rebound does not break at this position, while continuing to monitor the support at the 1750 line below. If the pullback does not break, one could consider going long. Before a clear breakout is formed, consider high selling and low buying in the 1750 - 1920 range, and follow the trend after a breakout occurs.