Analysis Company Gives Date for "Real Correction" in Bitcoin: "Short-term Investors Are No Longer Accumulating"

The crypto analysis company Alphractal, in its latest assessment, pointed to significant on-chain activity in the Bitcoin market.

According to the company, after the recent price increase, Short-Term Investors (STH) have stopped accumulating and started distributing their coins.

According to Alphractal's statement, the fact that the supply of STH has started to decline historically indicates that Bitcoin is approaching major cycle peaks. While the price is rising, slowing demand and increasing selling pressure are among the classic signs of bull markets approaching their end.

Currently, STH Realize Price stands at $94,500. This level is considered the last support point for short-term investors before they turn to losses again. On the other hand, Long-Term Investors' (LTH) Realization Price has reached the $33,000 level and continues to rise.

Alphractal also shared an interesting on-chain observation: "When the STH Realized Price exceeds the LTH Realized Price, it has signaled the beginning of a new bull market every time."

Alphractal reminds us that Bitcoin was able to reach all-time highs in 2021 in a similar environment, despite the short-term investors' tendency to sell. However, according to the company, the current macro on-chain signals and the symmetry in the halving cycle indicate that a significant market correction could start after October 2025.