Analisis: Struktur inflasi Amerika Serikat menunjukkan perbedaan yang mencolok, konflik geopolitik jangka panjang mungkin memaksa Federal Reserve untuk kembali menaikkan suku bunga

CoinWorld.net 12 April news, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on the X platform that, based on the latest data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the current inflation structure in the United States has become clearer. Although the March CPI saw the largest month-on-month increase since 2022, the core CPI remained relatively stable, indicating that inflationary pressure has not yet fully spread. This trend still requires continuous observation in conjunction with subsequent PCE data and performance over the coming months. If this structure persists, it means that inflation has not become systematically embedded in the U.S. economy, mostly manifesting as a phased phenomenon, likely related to geopolitical conflicts. However, if the U.S.-Iran conflict continues to escalate and becomes prolonged, inflation may gradually evolve into systemic risk, further dragging down economic growth, and at that point, the Federal Reserve may have to continue raising interest rates to respond.