Friday Summary, July 25 early Saturday: Bitcoin & Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions Those who follow the trend flourish; those who fight it suffer. Never clash with stubborn chart trends head-on. Looking back at Friday, the market continued the bearish trend throughout the day, showing a weak pattern of one-way downside. In the morning there was a small rebound: BTC spiked upward to 65,780 and ETH rose in parallel to around 1,909, but neither managed to hold above the overhead pressure zone. Price kept falling under pressure, repeatedly breaking through multiple layers of support. In the evening, the selloff accelerated further—BTC’s low reached 63,666 and ETH’s low probed down to 1,846; both successfully hit the stop-profit target points mentioned in the strategy guidance. Throughout the day, the overall plan remained firmly bullish for the downside (bearish), and it was not swayed by the brief minor rebound. The market structure and layout were aligned for short positions; BTC captured a total of 2,785 points and ETH captured 75 points of space. If anyone has been going against such a clearly weak structure and got caught in a position, you can follow the same plan and steadily take profits. From the current perspective, after consecutive declines the market has entered low-level consolidation, but the bearish “head” structure remains intact. Daily timeframe: it formed a three-day consecutive bearish candle pattern; the large bearish candle broke below the midline support directly, and clear resistance has formed above, with the overall center of gravity continuing to shift lower. 4-hour timeframe: since making the 66,924 new high, price has kept sliding downward; overhead selling pressure is heavy. Near the key resistance around 65,500, an evening star k-line pattern formed. If it still fails to return and trade back above the overhead resistance area for a long time, there remains risk of another round of further downside. Hourly timeframe: the stepped-down structure is obvious; rebound strength is weak. It is still consolidating at low levels. Before any clear stop-the-fall signal appears, don’t blindly try to pick bottoms. The approach remains “follow the trend—rebounds to sell from higher levels.” With weekend liquidity being thin, control your positions. BTC: around 64,600, targets 63,000 → 62,500 ETH: around 1,880, targets 1,825 → 1,800 #直通IPO第二期JerseyMikes $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

Hindsight is everywhere—strength lies in planning ahead! Big Cake has carved out downward room of more than 1,600 points, while Yi Tai has carved out a range of more than 40 points. Those who go bargain-hunting against the trend, fueled by fantasies, will ultimately have to pay for their subjective judgment!$BTC $ETH

#Bitcoin #DOGEcoin #BrentOil Markets Tell Three Different Stories: BTC Pauses, DOGE Runs, Oil Burns April 30, 2026. Three asset classes, three moods on the same day. Bitcoin pulls back 0.6% and trades at $75,785. Dogecoin jumps 5.7% and moves against the trend. Brent crude pushes to $116.85 per barrel and tests a four-year high. All three live in the same global economy, but each writes a different story. 1. Bitcoin: $75,785 and an Institutional Breathing Space Bitcoin slipped 1.1% in the last 24 hours, easing from $76,324 to the $75,785 range. The intraday low was $74,937 and the high was $77,240. This is a modest 0.6% correction. Why the dip? Because it rallied. BTC climbed from $63,000 earlier in 2026 to $76,500. That recovery was supported by five straight sessions of net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs totaling $1.1 billion. Now the market is digesting Strategy’s weekly 3,273 BTC buys and its 818,334 BTC reserve. The company’s average cost is $75,537. Price sits just above that line. Technically, $75,000 is psychological support. Institutions are defending that level. The 0.6% drop is not “selling.” It is “waiting.” You cannot run a marathon without catching your breath. 2. Dogecoin: A 5.7% Meme Rally and the $0.10 Door While BTC pulled back, DOGE gained 5.7%. It is up 5.30% in the last week and more than 11% in the last month. Price broke above $0.0970 and is testing $0.0995 resistance. Why? Technicals. Dogecoin cleared resistance at $0.0980 and $0.0985. It holds above the 50% Fibonacci level at $0.0970. It is also above the 100-hour moving average. On the hourly chart, an ascending trend line supports price at $0.0978. The key level is $0.0995. That is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the last drop. A strong break opens the door to the psychological $0.10 mark. On-chain data is interesting too: MVRV is 0.686. Market value is 31% below realized value. NUPL sits at -0.459, in the “capitulation” zone. Historically, these levels mark points where buyers return after heavy losses. Bottom line: As BTC rests, risk appetite shifts to memecoins. DOGE is diverging short term on technicals and community momentum. 3. Brent Oil: $116.85 and the Shadow of the Strait of Hormuz The real fire is in energy. Brent crude is $116.85. It touched $126 intraday. That is the highest since March 2022. Compared with $70 levels at the start of 2026, it is up 70%. One reason: U.S.-Iran tensions. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. One-fifth of the world’s oil moves through it. The U.S. maintains a naval blockade of Iranian ports. The Trump administration will not lift the blockade until Tehran returns to a nuclear deal. The message “a blockade is more effective than bombing. They are choking” has rattled markets. Result: Eight straight sessions of gains. Brent settled up $6.77 at $118.03 per barrel. U.S. crude jumped 7% to $106.88. Inventories are also falling. U.S. crude stocks dropped 6 million barrels last week. The forecast was 200,000. Gasoline and diesel draws were larger than expected. Supply is tightening as the summer driving season begins. Analysts are raising targets. Goldman Sachs lifted its year-end Brent forecast from $80 to $90. The physical market is in backwardation: June is $113.14, July is $105. Near-term barrels carry a premium. That means stocks are being drawn down. Spot oil is scarce. 4. The One Thing Connecting All Three: A Risk Premium Why did BTC dip? Because it rallied and traders took profit. Institutions are protecting the $75,537 cost basis. Why did DOGE pop? Because BTC paused and speculative money chased a short-term story. Technicals plus community equals rally. Why did oil surge? Because geopolitical risk is real. Hormuz is closed, inventories are down, summer is coming. All three are pricing the same thing: uncertainty. Bitcoin looks for safe-haven demand as “digital gold” but gets sold short term. Dogecoin is the barometer of “risk-on.” Oil is a direct war premium. Final Word: The April 30 picture is clear. Money is braking and accelerating at the same time. Brakes on BTC, gas on DOGE, fire in oil. Next week, a headline from Hormuz, a signal from the Fed, a flow from ETFs… any of it can redraw these three charts. For now the rule is simple: As long as BTC holds above $75,000, bulls stay in control. If DOGE breaks $0.10, momentum takes over. While Brent stays above $110, inflation stays hot. Stay alert. #GateSquare #CreatorCarnival $BTC ‌$ETH ‌$DOGE ‌$GAS ‌