$ETH Such a big pump—tonight’s data is very likely to be bullish The market pumped ahead of the data release. Based on past experience, tonight’s data will very likely come in below expectations, which would be bullish. Expectations are being priced in early. Given the sharp swings over the past two days, tonight will most likely see an initial pump followed by a dump. You can take a small long position now, with take-profit at 1940. Set the defense level higher, at 1890, to avoid being stopped out by a single wick in an extreme move. Wait for the direction before entering again. #CPI数据前夜，押注还是观望

🔔Tonight’s CPI data is coming in hot—could it break the range-bound pattern?🔥🔥🔥 CPI is a key indicator of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy direction: The higher inflation rises, the weaker rate-cut expectations become, the stronger the U.S. dollar gets, and the more pressure cryptocurrencies face. As inflation cools, rate-cut expectations rise, the U.S. dollar weakens, and the crypto market benefits. This release focuses on two key indicators: 1. Headline CPI year-over-year rate: Previous 3.5%, expected 3.4% ​ 2. Core CPI year-over-year rate (more closely watched by the Federal Reserve): Previous 2.6%, expected 2.5% Three data scenarios and their corresponding market moves Inflation higher than expected across the board (bearish, decline) Conditions: Headline CPI year-over-year rate > 3.4% and core CPI year-over-year rate > 2.5% Interpretation: Inflation is not cooling as much as the market had hoped, sharply reducing expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with high interest rates likely to remain in place for longer. Market performance: 1. The U.S. Dollar Index surges, while the Nasdaq plunges; ​ 2. The market quickly sells off, with a short-term wick probing downward toward support; ​ Trading approach: Stay on the sidelines and do not buy the dip. If a rebound encounters resistance, consider shorting in line with the trend, and always use a strict stop-loss. Inflation lower than expected across the board (bullish, rebound and rally) Conditions: Headline CPI year-over-year rate < 3.4% and core CPI year-over-year rate < 2.5% Interpretation: Inflation continues to cool, the market’s priced-in probability of a September rate cut soars, and expectations for looser liquidity recover. Market performance: 1. The U.S. dollar weakens rapidly, while risk assets recover across the board; ​ 2. The crypto market rallies immediately, breaking through the short-term resistance line; ​ Diverging data (bull-bear tug-of-war, wide-range volatility) Typical divergence: Headline CPI cools to the target, but core CPI comes in above expectations; or vice versa. Interpretation: The market becomes divided over the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, and funds rapidly switch between long and short positions. Market performance: A downward wick followed by a rebound, or a sharp rally followed by a rapid retreat, with stop-losses triggered repeatedly in both directions within 15 minutes. Trading approach: Do not enter immediately after the data is released. Wait 30 minutes for the market to digest the data and establish a clear range before trading; reduce position size to lower risk. #GateLaunchpool瓜分141万枚DOS #我的七夕交易分享 #Gate多项交易指标全球Top4

$ETH Something big is about to happen tonight! After finding support around 1852, the hourly chart has been steadily making higher lows. It has now climbed back above 1900, with volume starting to confirm the move. The structure is clear: the bears can’t push it down, while buyers are gradually lifting the price back up. More importantly, CPI is due tonight. The market currently expects July CPI to come in at 3.4% year-on-year, below the previous 3.5%. If the data comes in below expectations, expectations for looser monetary policy ahead will heat up further, and risk assets could quickly capture a liquidity premium. I’m bullish on ETH tonight. The market has started trading on expectations, and 1900 is not the endpoint. First, watch 1930. If 1930 is decisively taken out on strong volume, I think ETH will eventually test the 2000 level. And with CPI moves like this, the most common scenario is that once the data drops, while the bears are still studying the candlesticks, ETH has already swept their stop-loss orders one by one. ‍#Gate多项交易指标全球Top4 #我的七夕交易分享