Non-farm payroll night is here! Precise analysis of the data code to avoid Get Liquidated traps.
"Non-farm data sets the direction, the true essence of the long-short game is revealed!" Tonight at 20:30, the U.S. non-farm payroll report for August will be released. As a key basis for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, this report directly influences global capital flows and is a "make or break" factor for the cryptocurrency market. Three core points to understand the impact: 1. Non-farm payroll employment: Previous value 73,000, expected 75,000. Value announced > 75,000: Signal of economic overheating, expectations of interest rate hikes rising, the cryptocurrency market is likely to come under pressure and decline (bearish). Announced value < 73,000: Economic slowdown is evident, interest rate hikes may be paused, and the market may welcome a rebound (positive news). 2. Unemployment Rate: Previous value 4.2%, expected 4.3%. The lower the value: the stronger the economic vitality and the stronger the motivation to raise interest rates (bearish). The higher the value: Employment pressure increases, interest rate hike expectations weaken (favorable). 3. Average Hourly Earnings Annual Rate (Key Indicator): Previous Value 3.9%, Expected 3.7%. This is the "barometer" of inflation! If it is ≥3.9%, even if employment data is weak, the Federal Reserve may still maintain a hawkish stance due to inflationary pressures, which would still be bearish; only with a slowdown in growth can the market truly alleviate concerns. Market Forecast and Trading Suggestions The current market has already priced in the employment expectation of 75,000. Before extreme data (either extremely high or extremely poor) appears, it is highly likely to show a pattern of "severe fluctuations and mutual destruction of bulls and bears." Before the data release: funds are in a wait-and-see mood, making the market prone to low volume and sideways movement. At the moment of data release: Short-term sharp rises and falls are often "bull traps/bear traps"; do not blindly chase orders. Establishing the true direction: We need to wait 15-30 minutes after the data is released for the market to digest and determine the breakout direction. Core Strategy: Reduce Leverage! Protect Principal! Rather than risking a gamble, it's better to wait for the trend to become clear. After the direction is confirmed, it is a prudent choice to lay out positions and pick up chips in the direction of the trend. Want to get data interpretation, market analysis, and operation guidance as soon as possible? Follow me, tonight at 20:30, and I'll take you to the non-farm payroll site to accurately grasp the market dynamics. Encountered! $BTC $ETH $SOL #Gate Alpha晒单挑战##Gate上线Ondo专区现货交易##非农就业数据来袭#
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Non-farm payroll night is here! Precise analysis of the data code to avoid Get Liquidated traps.
"Non-farm data sets the direction, the true essence of the long-short game is revealed!"
Tonight at 20:30, the U.S. non-farm payroll report for August will be released. As a key basis for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, this report directly influences global capital flows and is a "make or break" factor for the cryptocurrency market.
Three core points to understand the impact:
1. Non-farm payroll employment: Previous value 73,000, expected 75,000.
Value announced > 75,000: Signal of economic overheating, expectations of interest rate hikes rising, the cryptocurrency market is likely to come under pressure and decline (bearish).
Announced value < 73,000: Economic slowdown is evident, interest rate hikes may be paused, and the market may welcome a rebound (positive news).
2. Unemployment Rate: Previous value 4.2%, expected 4.3%.
The lower the value: the stronger the economic vitality and the stronger the motivation to raise interest rates (bearish).
The higher the value: Employment pressure increases, interest rate hike expectations weaken (favorable).
3. Average Hourly Earnings Annual Rate (Key Indicator): Previous Value 3.9%, Expected 3.7%.
This is the "barometer" of inflation! If it is ≥3.9%, even if employment data is weak, the Federal Reserve may still maintain a hawkish stance due to inflationary pressures, which would still be bearish; only with a slowdown in growth can the market truly alleviate concerns.
Market Forecast and Trading Suggestions
The current market has already priced in the employment expectation of 75,000. Before extreme data (either extremely high or extremely poor) appears, it is highly likely to show a pattern of "severe fluctuations and mutual destruction of bulls and bears."
Before the data release: funds are in a wait-and-see mood, making the market prone to low volume and sideways movement.
At the moment of data release: Short-term sharp rises and falls are often "bull traps/bear traps"; do not blindly chase orders.
Establishing the true direction: We need to wait 15-30 minutes after the data is released for the market to digest and determine the breakout direction.
Core Strategy: Reduce Leverage! Protect Principal!
Rather than risking a gamble, it's better to wait for the trend to become clear. After the direction is confirmed, it is a prudent choice to lay out positions and pick up chips in the direction of the trend.
Want to get data interpretation, market analysis, and operation guidance as soon as possible? Follow me, tonight at 20:30, and I'll take you to the non-farm payroll site to accurately grasp the market dynamics.
Encountered! $BTC $ETH $SOL #Gate Alpha晒单挑战# #Gate上线Ondo专区现货交易# #非农就业数据来袭#