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Recently, the crypto assets market has shown a new trend, especially regarding the so-called "altcoin season." This phase usually occurs when Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are consolidating at new highs, and some quality alts may experience a slight rebound.
It is worth noting that this wave of market trends is different from past bull markets. It is expected that quality alts may experience a 2-3 times increase, while particularly outstanding projects may even reach 3-5 times, with some exceptional cases potentially breaking 10 times. However, investors need to be aware that accurately identifying and holding these highly volatile assets for the long term presents challenges.
The market dynamics are changing. In the past, an altcoin boom index of 75 was seen as the starting point for a market rally, but now it may indicate that a peak is approaching. This means that investment strategies need to be adjusted accordingly, placing greater emphasis on risk management and timely profit-taking.
In the future, the cryptocurrency market may increasingly resemble traditional stock markets, presenting a situation where the strong get stronger. It is expected that only 1% of projects will account for 90% of market value and growth. For ordinary investors, the possibility of achieving tens of times returns in the short term is decreasing. Instead, achieving around three times the return in each market cycle may become a more realistic goal.
In the long term, achieving a return of 5-10 times over a two-year period from the end of a bear market to the mid-point of a bull market may be a relatively stable and reliable investment strategy. This serves as a reminder for investors to adjust their expectations and adopt a more rational and long-term investment perspective.
Overall, the crypto assets market is entering a more mature and complex phase. Investors need to adapt to these changes, enhance their risk awareness, and adopt more flexible and cautious investment strategies.