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Analysis of Bull vs Bear Battle and Trend Breakthrough Signals in Ethereum (ETH)
1. Core Operating Strategies
• Long Strategy:
1. Breakthrough at $4320 → chase long positions on the right side, with "recovering this level" as a dynamic stop-loss (confirming the validity of the breakthrough);
2. Pullback to $4182 with valid support → light position to try long, stop loss at $4144 (if it breaks, support fails);
3. Hourly level stabilized at $4322 → trend continuation signal, targets successively looking at $4385 → $4424;
4. Left-side ambush: Long position at $4106, stop loss at $4070 (pullback low absorption layout, need to be cautious).
• Short selling strategy:
1. If the price drops below $4288 → short on the right side, strictly set stop-loss (to guard against pullback risk);
2. Resistance encountered at $4351 → light short position, stop loss if it breaks and holds above $4385 (critical point for pressure level defense).
2. Key Levels and Trend Rhythm
• Resistance levels: $4320 (breakout confirmation line) → $4385 (short-term resistance) → $4424 (trend target);
• Support level bottom line: $4248 (immediate defense) → $4200 (pullback buffer) → $4153 (deep pullback support).
• Key signals on the 4-hour level: If it falls below $4236, look down to $4191→$4155, opening up room for a pullback; if it holds, it will maintain a strong oscillating pattern.
3. Key Verification of Pattern Breakthrough: Yellow Trend Line and Box Structure
Two key signals need to be focused on at the hourly level:
• The yellow bullish trend line was "quickly reclaimed after breaking yesterday," indicating that the bulls still have resilience and the trend has not been broken;
• Currently, it has broken through the middle axis of the box, and if it further breaks through the upper boundary of the box, it is expected to challenge the high of $4391 (breaking the box is a prerequisite for opening up upward space).
Summary: Breakthroughs require volume support, defense looks at key support.
Ethereum is currently in the "consolidation period after breaking through the box's mid-axis". The core operation: Long positions rely on breaking through $4320 and stabilizing above $4322 to follow up, while short positions focus on the breakout signal at $4288, and simultaneously keep a close eye on whether the upper boundary of the box can be broken. Discipline comes first, allowing the levels and patterns to guide the direction.