Tonight at 20:00, Trump will accept a CNBC "Squawk Box" interview, focusing on topics such as the economy, employment, and Fed policy. Considering the previous scandal of falsified US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data and his swift dismissal of relevant senior officials, Trump is still haunted by data distortion. Since he is still in office, it is not out of the question that he will once again pressure the Fed tonight, mentioning the possibility of interest rate cuts. The market needs to closely follow his attitude towards monetary policy; if he releases signals of easing, it may be favourable information for risk assets in the short-term. Brothers, pay attention! The blonde is about to speak! No matter what he says, the market will tremble three times.

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Recently, news has been focused on the exhausting "new tariff proposal." Over 66 countries have been included in the potential tariff increase list — the routine remains the same. Each time feels like an "old script replaying," even giving a sense of "market manipulation." However, the U.S. government obviously won't take the risk of economic recession just for these tariffs. The market pullbacks triggered by such actions are something we have seen many times. Retail investors often view such news as significant unfavorable information, overreacting. Think about it, how many times have similar tariff threats been announced? And how many times has the market reached new highs afterward? Therefore, there is no need to worry excessively; this has become a cliché.
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Bitcoin has moved out of a consolidation state this afternoon, followed by a rapid probing action, reaching a low of 1136100, forming a "pin bar" pattern, and then quickly rebounding to around 114800. The bullish momentum shows strong release characteristics after testing the bottom. Ethereum started to oscillate and retrace after testing the high point of 3735 earlier this morning, dropping to around 3600 in the afternoon before rebounding slightly to 3692. After the pin bar in the afternoon, the market quickly moved away from the downward channel area and is now steadily approaching the middle track, forming a rhythm of "downward track support → moving away from the weak range → repairing towards the middle track." From the hourly Boll structure, the current channel is in a noticeable widening phase, with the battle between bulls and bears entering an active period. There is still room for bullish extension in the evening session!