Daily Briefing of the English Community

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Release Date: 2025-07-31

Overall market sentiment
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The group presents a cautiously optimistic attitude, anticipating a price increase, with key price levels at $118,000 (current anchor price) and $120,000 as the target price. Traders expect significant volatility around Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, projecting that every sentence will trigger a $200 price fluctuation while managing options positions in a low volatility environment.

Bearish Options Selling Strategy Under Federal Reserve Uncertainty - Bullish Consensus
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• A trader sold $112,000 and $113,000 put options for next week, despite warnings suggesting to wait for Powell's speech, which represents a bullish stance on the price bottom.
• This strategy hedges to manage downside risk through short perpetual contract positions, demonstrating precise risk management in a volatile environment.
• Group consensus tends to revisit the price level of $114,000 - $115,000 next week as an ideal scenario, expecting that low volatility will accelerate the decay of option time value in its favor.