Based on the provided ETH/USDT Perptual Futures 15-minute line data (July 25, 2025, 23:35), combined with technical indicator analysis, the following low-risk short-term strategy is formulated:


Key Levels
Strong support level: 3600.00 (round number + above the previous low of 3597.60)
Resistance level: 3640.85 (daily opening price)
Current price: 3631.35 (closing price)
technical indicator
MACD bearish momentum weakens: DIF(16.17) crosses above DEA(16.91), green bars shrink to 1.47, and downward momentum slows.
RSI Oversold Rebound: RSI1(36.81) is approaching the oversold zone (<30), indicating a short-term need for repair.
KDJ Divergence: The J value (76.97) has quickly rebounded, but the K (57.75) and D (48.14) are still in the middle range, suggesting limited rebound potential.
Insufficient volume: Trading volume (4,609) is below the 5-day average volume (20,077), raising doubts about the sustainability of the rebound.
Specific strategy: Range band of 3600-3640
Entry Timing:
Long position: price pulls back to 3601-3605 (above previous low + support overlap) with a light position, stop loss at 3595 (invalid if it breaks the previous low of 3597.60).
Short position: Short on a rebound to 3638-3642 (opening price resistance zone), stop loss at 3648 (invalidated if it breaks the previous high of 3640.86).
Take profit target:
The first target for the long position is 3620 (amplitude 50%), and the second target is 3635 (close to the closing price).
Short position target 3615 (support turned resistance), quick take profit.
Holding Period:
15-30 minutes (1-2 K lines), avoid liquidity risks during night trading. If the entry point is not reached before 23:50, abandon the trade.
risk-reward ratio
Long Position: Stop loss 5U, profit 15-30U (above 1:3).
Short position: Stop loss 8U, Profit 20U (1:2.5).
Core logic: Relying on the strong support at 3600 and the resistance level at 3640, utilize the rebound from oversold conditions and resistance suppression for small wave operations, with strict stop-loss.
Important reminder: The current amplitude is only 0.3% (9.5U), which is a narrow fluctuation market. If it does not break the range after 00:00 the next day, it is recommended to exit and observe, waiting for directional signals (such as a breakout above 3640 or a drop below 3600). #余币宝年化收益破24%# #Gate Launchpad IKA上线# #以太坊交易量飙升#
ETH2.03%
IKA-8.56%
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