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Analysis of altcoin opportunities in the Bitcoin blood-sucking market.
The bloodsucking market of Bitcoin is currently in a self-reinforcing stage. Initially, it was only sucking blood from alts, but recently it has started sucking blood from on-chain meme coins.
Market sentiment analysis shows that the atmosphere on social media has become quite pessimistic, with voices of cryptocurrency nihilism and Bitcoin extremism growing louder. Many respected traders and veterans have even lamented that "the altcoin season has ended."
According to the historical data analysis of the data platform, there are four typical patterns between Bitcoin and alts:
Dual Rise Mode: Bitcoin and altcoins rise simultaneously, while Bitcoin's market cap ratio may fluctuate or decrease. This usually occurs during a bull market boom and is a good opportunity to increase positions.
Double decline pattern: Bitcoin and alts are falling simultaneously. This is a good opportunity to reduce risk, suitable for purchasing stablecoins and blue-chip tokens. For long-term holders, consider dollar-cost averaging or buying on dips.
Bitcoin falls while alts rise: This situation is relatively rare. When Bitcoin fluctuates but does not decline significantly, a brief altcoin season may occur, and it might be worth considering increasing risk exposure.
Bitcoin rises while altcoins fall: Bitcoin is rising and outperforming the market, with its market capitalization continuously hitting new highs. This situation is common before halving or at the beginning of a bull market, making it a good time to accumulate alts.
The market currently seems to be in the fourth mode. However, the duration and extent of the decoupling between Bitcoin and alts in this round far exceed historical precedents.
With the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF, the market is concerned that this may change the way funds are allocated to crypto assets. A large listed company has recently become a hot trading target in the US stock market, seemingly confirming that this worry is becoming a reality, making the theory of the disappearance of altcoin season more convincing.
As an unwavering crypto optimist, I still see "disruptive innovations" rapidly iterating in areas such as chain abstraction, payment finance, Web3 AI agents, and the Bitcoin ecosystem. In the meme coin and consumer chain space, I can feel the strong momentum of "exponential growth." In this context, discussing the "historical end" of alts seems to me an irrational emotional outburst.
If the current market makes you feel anxious and confused, take some time to pay attention to those altcoin projects that are still actively developing:
Maintaining inner peace is a good way to stay true to oneself amidst the turbulent waves of trading. Serenity leads to far-reaching results.