Based on the Ethereum 15-minute line data on July 17, 2025, at 20:00 (closing at $3416.43, with a long bearish breakout), the following low-risk high-return strategy is formulated (valid period: 20:15 - 22:30 UTC+8):

Precise Strategy
Oversold rebound (20:15-21:00)

Entry point: 3405-3410 USD (previous low support area)

Confirmation signal: 15-minute K line with long lower shadow + RSI < 25 (currently close to oversold)

Position: 12%

Target: $3430 → $3440 (3x profit-loss ratio)

Stop Loss: $3398 (Strict stop loss at 0.2% below previous low)

Breakout short (21:15-22:00)

Entry point: Price breaks below $3400 (psychological barrier)

Confirmation Signal: Volume > 1.5 times the previous average volume + MACD green bars expand

Position: 8%

Target: 3380→3350 USD

Stop loss: 3415 USD

Shorting on rebound (22:15-22:30)

Entry point: Price rebounds to $3425-3430 (breakout resistance converted)

Confirmation signal: Volume contraction + RSI < 45

Position: 5%

Target: $3400→$3380

Stop Loss: 3440 USD

Risk control mechanism
Low-risk guarantee:

The stop-loss space for the oversold order is 0.35% (historical strong support 3398)

Position entry in batches (Main strategy 12% + Short chasing 8%)

High Yield Trigger:

Breakout shorting to capture acceleration phase (Target 3350, Profit-loss ratio 1:4)

Shorting on a pullback with precise targeting of resistance levels

Disciplinary Action:

Close positions by 22:30

Single loss ≤ 0.5% of total funds

Iron Rule of Operation:

Immediately execute the rebound strategy when a long lower shadow appears near 3400.

If it doesn't break 3400 by 21:00, then give up on shorting.

Clear all positions regardless of profit or loss before 22:30! #比特币巨鲸动向# #山寨季何时到来？# #Gate 2025 Q2报告出炉# #BTC# #ETH#