Jin10 data May 14, according to CME's "The Federal Reserve (FED) Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the Intrerest Rate unchanged in June is 91.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 8.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the Intrerest Rate unchanged in July is 61.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 35.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 2.7%.