Bitcoin 250,000 dollars, how far are we from it?

Compilation: Vernacular Blockchain

$250,000 Bitcoin - sounds crazy, right?

But some staunch bulls have put forward this number, and they have charts to support it. Here is why this is not just a fantasy.

1. Surge in M2 Money Supply — Liquidity Tsunami

The global M2 money supply is skyrocketing and will not stop in the short term. According to Real Vision analysis, the global liquidity tide will last until 2026. This means the four-year cycle may be broken. Don't expect a timely peak this October. If funds continue to flow, BTC may reach $250,000 by next spring.

2. High Yield Bonds - No Panic, No Problem

Bitcoin bull Tom Lee pointed out that the high-yield bond market—an indicator of financial crises—has not shown signs of panic. Government bonds are somewhat volatile, but high-yield bonds are calm. This is not a signal of a crash. If the bond market is not panicking, you don't need to panic either.

3. V-Shaped Recovery Probability - History Favors the Bulls

Interestingly, since 1950, 17 out of 18 major declines have experienced a V-shaped rapid recovery, with a success rate of 94%. If you think the market will crash directly, you are going against history.

4. Business Cycle Bottom - We are at a Low Point

The market peaks at the top of the business cycle, not at the bottom. We are still in the "harsh, terrible" phase of the cycle. This is good news for the bulls. Once the cycle turns, the bull market will come.

5. The technical model points to higher

Technical analysis also supports an upward trend:

• Power Law Chart: Baseline of $150,000 by the end of 2025, reaching $250,000 by 2028.
• Pi Cycle Top: Currently around $160,000, but could rise to $250,000.
• Gold Ratio Multiplier: Conservatively estimated at $160,000, with slight extension reaching up to $250,000.
• Fibonacci Extension: If history repeats itself, the target is $215,000 to $250,000.

6. Institutions are still hoarding coins

Don't forget about the big players. Institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying Bitcoin in large quantities. There's even rumors that the U.S. government is considering including BTC in its strategic reserves. You wouldn't want to get on the train when it's already moving, would you?

7. Adjusting Mindset - This is a Long-Term Battle

Yes, there will be "violent and nauseating pullbacks" along the way. You will feel like it’s all over – and then the price will skyrocket. There will be countless newcomers liquidated on the road to $250,000. Don’t become one of them.

Summary - Keep Going

Bottom line? Ignore the noise, disregard the bears, and stay focused. If you are a long-term player, a Bitcoin at $250,000 is not only possible - it's right around the corner.

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