As the market prepares for rate cuts, bets are being placed on the yield curve steepening gradually.

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The July 10th data from Golden Finance shows that as traders prepare for the Fed's rate cut, the stock market is pumping. The Euro Stoxx 600 index, S&P 500 index futures, and Nasdaq 100 index futures are slightly higher, and derivative traders continue to predict two rate cuts in 2024. The two-year US Treasury yield is close to a 3-month low, prompting widespread bets that the US Treasury yield curve will normalize in a steeper direction. The idea behind this trade is that actual rate cuts will depress short-term bond yields, while concerns about fiscal spending will push up long-term bond yields. Pimco's sovereign credit analyst Nicola Mai said: 'We are ready for a steepening curve. Later this year or early next year, we should see a curve inversion.'

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