Recently I came up with an interesting trading idea. I took a short position on silver in a prediction market—directly betting that silver won't break to new highs in January. At the same time, I'm following $XAG on the 4-hour futures chart, and after carefully examining the price action, silver does indeed show signs of a double top, which gives me more confidence in this short thesis.
The key thing is, I've decided to continue holding this prediction market position. It feels like this is truly a position worth holding onto.
To be honest, by 2026, my daily trading focus has gradually shifted away from traditional CEX to perpetual futures and prediction markets. Using both tools together—one capturing short-term volatility, one validating medium-term analysis—the efficiency is completely different. This combination punch is now my core trading framework.
I double top bearish setup, I get it, but can prediction markets really make money? What about the risks?
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Perpetual + prediction market combo sounds great, but execution is key. How do you set stop loss on this silver trade?
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WTF double top confirmed? I'm watching XAG too, your approach seems solid
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Still talking about trading frameworks by 2026? Haha
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Prediction markets are the real trades, I believe that, compared to CEX's garbage liquidity
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I haven't shorted silver before, your chart analysis is interesting, I'm in
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Two tools working together, the efficiency is different, that's real. I tried it before too
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No new high in January? That's a bold bet bro
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Perpetual contracts capture volatility, prediction markets validate judgement, this approach is really clear
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I didn't catch that double top, you spotted it before me
Recently I came up with an interesting trading idea. I took a short position on silver in a prediction market—directly betting that silver won't break to new highs in January. At the same time, I'm following $XAG on the 4-hour futures chart, and after carefully examining the price action, silver does indeed show signs of a double top, which gives me more confidence in this short thesis.
The key thing is, I've decided to continue holding this prediction market position. It feels like this is truly a position worth holding onto.
To be honest, by 2026, my daily trading focus has gradually shifted away from traditional CEX to perpetual futures and prediction markets. Using both tools together—one capturing short-term volatility, one validating medium-term analysis—the efficiency is completely different. This combination punch is now my core trading framework.