Trading Review｜Use larger cycles to set direction, smaller cycles to find buy points, refuse to be broken by 1-minute noise📊

4-hour level: From the low of 1906.63, a continuous rally has been underway, forming a standard "decline - consolidation - rise" structure in the Chan theory. Currently, the price is firmly above the middle upper boundary of the central zone at 2104.49, indicating the overall bullish trend remains intact. The previous correction was just a normal pullback within the main upward wave.
1-hour level: After completing the yellow central zone, the price broke through directly, forming a strong upward structure. The previous high of 2167.20 is the next target for the bulls. Short-term pullbacks are just shakeouts, not reversals.
15-minute level: Perfectly verified the judgment of the larger cycle. After the price retraced to the upper boundary of the central zone and stabilized quickly, the bullish momentum was fully supported. The fluctuations on the 1-minute chart are just minor noise in the context of the larger cycle.
The upcoming rhythm is very clear: ✅ patiently wait for the pullback to the strong support at 2105-2110, try small positions for error correction ✅ strictly set stop-loss at 2100, only accept small losses, never large losses ✅.
Trading is a path where slow is fast, steady is winning. Do not greedily chase every K-line profit, only earn within your understanding, the rest is left to time.
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Let's analyze the structure directly: ETH/USDT multi-cycle structure deep analysis (Chan theory perspective)
1. 4-hour level (big trend direction)
1. Core structure
Trend characterization: Clear large-scale bullish upward trend, starting from the historical low of 1906.63, completing the standard Chan structure of "decline - consolidation - rise."
Central zone structure: The blue box indicates the 4-hour upward central zone, approximately 2080-2140. After the central zone is completed, the price started the main upward wave around 2020, reaching a high of 2385.78, breaking through the central zone.
Current position: After a pullback from the high of 2385.78, within the upward trend from 1906.63 to 2385.78, a second bottom was formed at 1940.00, then a new rebound began. The current price is 2129.90, firmly above the upper boundary of the central zone at 2104.49, confirming the central zone pullback in the upward trend. The large-scale bullish structure remains fully intact.
2. Key levels
Strong support: 2104.49 (upper boundary of the central zone, the lifeline for bulls, only a valid break below will change the big trend)
Resistance levels: 2160-2180 (near previous high selling pressure zone), 2385.78 (historical high)
2. 1-hour level (medium cycle to set rhythm)
1. Core structure
Trend characterization: A secondary upward structure within the 4-hour upward trend, starting from the low of 1936.54, perfectly supporting the 4-hour rebound.
Central zone structure: The yellow box indicates the 1-hour upward central zone, approximately 2000-2070. After completing the central zone, the price broke through the upper boundary directly, forming a strong main upward wave, reaching a high of 2167.20.
Current position: After a pullback from 2167.20, the current close is 2128.33, which is a normal correction after the 1-hour main upward wave. The correction did not break below the upper boundary of the central zone at 2104.49, so the bullish trend continues. The current stage is "upward - correction - stabilization" in a relay phase.
2. Key levels
Strong support: 2104.49 (resonating with the 4-hour level, core support)
Secondary support: 2120-2125 (golden ratio retracement of this correction, short-term support)
Resistance level: 2167.20 (previous high on 1-hour chart, breaking through opens new upward space)
3. Multi-cycle linkage conclusion (core trading logic)
The overall direction is fully aligned: all are bullish structures on the 4-hour and 1-hour levels. All recent pullbacks are normal shakeouts within the upward trend, not trend reversals, effectively eliminating noise from 1-minute K-lines.
Resonance support is clear: 2104.49 is the resonance of the 4-hour and 1-hour central zone upper boundary, the core lifeline of this rally. As long as it is not broken effectively, the big trend remains bullish.
Current trend characterization: The price, under the large-scale bullish trend, has completed a healthy correction after the main upward wave. It is now in the central zone pullback confirmation stage, with sufficient support below, likely to continue upward and challenge previous highs.
4. Structural evolution and trading response
1. Optimistic evolution (high probability)
Price stabilizes above 2104.49, forming a 1-hour triple buy, breaking through the previous high of 2167.20, starting a new main upward wave, target 2200-2250.
Response: Lightly long on the pullback at 2105-2110, stop-loss at 2100, targets 2160, 2200.
2. Neutral evolution
Price oscillates between 2100-2160, forming a new 1-hour central zone, then choosing a direction.
Response: Buy near the lower boundary at 2110, sell near the upper boundary at 2150, trade the central zone oscillation, with strict stop-loss.
3. Pessimistic evolution (small probability)
Effective break below the central zone upper boundary at 2104.49, divergence in the 4-hour upward trend, entering a large-scale correction.
Response: Immediately close positions and wait for new structure formation, avoid contrarian trades.
5. Core summary
Big trend direction: The 4-hour and 1-hour bullish structures are intact. All recent fluctuations are normal shakeouts within the upward trend. The overall outlook remains bullish.
Small cycle buy points: The 1-minute K-line is only for precise entry, not for trend judgment, to avoid being broken by noise.
Risk control is key: Use 2104.49 as the lifeline, strictly implement stop-loss, only accept small losses, never large losses, manage positions to cope with volatility.
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