The Federal Reserve doesn't lack the willingness to cut rates now; rather, it's waiting for a more compelling reason. Inflation hasn't been fully convinced to surrender, and if employment starts to soften, the rate-cutting window will naturally open down the line. The market's focus going forward is no longer just on inflation—it's on who caves first, and whoever does will determine the pace of rate cuts.

If employment truly weakens, rate cuts later this year will likely be more than just empty promises 😂

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