【Block Beats】Prediction markets are undergoing a transformation. What was once a niche tool is evolving into a mainstream truth discovery mechanism, driven by close collaboration between research institutions and prediction platforms.
Anyone doing research knows this: track records speak volumes. Accurate predictions build credibility; missed predictions become lessons. But this feedback loop has long been private—research institutions publish reports, investors choose to believe or not, with no transparent feedback mechanism in between.
Now that’s changing. A leading research institution has partnered with Polymarket to launch 11 new markets. This isn’t just adding a few betting options—it’s establishing an entirely new model: research teams’ analytical output can be transformed into tradable markets, with each research report embedded in corresponding prediction markets. Investors are no longer passive recipients of viewpoints; they can directly wager based on research depth and data precision—this is true market pricing.
From this perspective, prediction markets aren’t merely speculative tools. They’re amplifiers of industry signals and arenas for idea collision. When you can directly price future trends, events, and data fluctuations in real-time, market participants’ incentives align—whoever judges more accurately profits; whoever misleads gets immediately exposed by the liquidity market.
This process essentially answers an ancient question: what is the most accurate prediction of the future? The answer is simple—pricing backed by real money.
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FlashLoanLarry
· 01-08 16:28
ngl lapisan transparansi ini akan mengungkap begitu banyak toko riset yang berjalan di vibes dan bukan di edge yang sebenarnya... lihat poin basis membesar dengan cepat begitu orang benar-benar bisa menaruh modal dalam game pada tesis ini
Lihat AsliBalas0
ForkItAll
· 01-08 16:21
Haha Polymarket benar-benar mulai serius, gelombang masuk lembaga riset ini terasa akan mengubah aturan permainan
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Dengan umpan balik transparan dan pasar yang dapat diperdagangkan, terdengar bagus tapi apakah benar-benar bisa membatasi lembaga riset dari omong kosong
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Daripada hanya mengirim laporan secara diam-diam, setidaknya ini bisa membuat analis tetap fokus pada perdagangan, menyenangkan
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11 pasar baru diluncurkan... tunggu, apakah kita akan kembali dijebak, sedang berhati-hati
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Akhirnya ada yang menghubungkan riset dan pasar prediksi, ini baru namanya Web3 yang seharusnya
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Saya cuma ingin tahu bagaimana nasib para analis yang dulu "berbicara sembarangan" sekarang
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Pasar prediksi menjadi mekanisme penemuan kebenaran? Ah, tidak juga, tetap tergantung siapa yang punya uang lebih dan punya pengaruh
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GasFeeCryBaby
· 01-08 16:17
Sekarang benar-benar akan melihat kemampuan lembaga riset, yang tidak bisa disembunyikan...
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GateUser-a5fa8bd0
· 01-08 16:17
Sial, lembaga riset akhirnya akan dikunci oleh pasar, biaya pamer ini benar-benar meningkat hahaha
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StakoorNeverSleeps
· 01-08 16:07
Haha, lembaga riset juga mulai mengadopsi blockchain, sekarang lihat siapa yang bisa lagi menyalahkan orang lain
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FloorPriceWatcher
· 01-08 15:54
Hmm, jadi nanti laporan dari lembaga riset bisa langsung digunakan untuk berjudi? Rasanya cara bermain ini bisa benar-benar mengungkap kemampuan prediksi banyak V besar.
Pasar prediksi menyambut era penetapan harga — model kolaborasi baru yang mendalam antara lembaga riset dan platform prediksi
【Block Beats】Prediction markets are undergoing a transformation. What was once a niche tool is evolving into a mainstream truth discovery mechanism, driven by close collaboration between research institutions and prediction platforms.
Anyone doing research knows this: track records speak volumes. Accurate predictions build credibility; missed predictions become lessons. But this feedback loop has long been private—research institutions publish reports, investors choose to believe or not, with no transparent feedback mechanism in between.
Now that’s changing. A leading research institution has partnered with Polymarket to launch 11 new markets. This isn’t just adding a few betting options—it’s establishing an entirely new model: research teams’ analytical output can be transformed into tradable markets, with each research report embedded in corresponding prediction markets. Investors are no longer passive recipients of viewpoints; they can directly wager based on research depth and data precision—this is true market pricing.
From this perspective, prediction markets aren’t merely speculative tools. They’re amplifiers of industry signals and arenas for idea collision. When you can directly price future trends, events, and data fluctuations in real-time, market participants’ incentives align—whoever judges more accurately profits; whoever misleads gets immediately exposed by the liquidity market.
This process essentially answers an ancient question: what is the most accurate prediction of the future? The answer is simple—pricing backed by real money.