Chứng khoán Mỹ biến động | Chỉ số Nasdaq 100 giảm 10% so với đỉnh cao tháng 10 năm ngoái, các cổ phiếu công nghệ hàng đầu đều giảm giá

智通财经APP获悉，周五，美股三大指数集体低开，纳斯达克100指数跌0.8%较去年10月高点下跌10%，市场预计技术上将进入调整阶段。
Star Technology stocks collectively fell, with Tesla (TSLA.US) down more than 2%, Microsoft (MSFT.US), Meta (META.US), Google A (GOOGL.US), and Amazon (AMZN.US) down nearly 2%, and Nvidia (NVDA.US) down nearly 1%.

消息面上，由于美以伊战事延宕给美国经济带来额外下行风险，多家机构近日上调美国经济陷入衰退的概率。
On the news front, due to the protracted conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran bringing additional downside risks to the U.S. economy, several institutions have recently raised the probability of a U.S. recession.

据美国方面25日消息，穆迪分析公司模型显示，美国经济在未来12个月陷入衰退的概率已经升至48.6%;高盛集团将其预测的这一概率提高到30%;美国威尔明顿信托公司和安永-博智隆公司分别预计美国经济陷入衰退的概率为45%和40%。
According to a report from the U.S. on the 25th, Moody’s Analytics model shows that the probability of the U.S. economy entering a recession in the next 12 months has risen to 48.6%; Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for this probability to 30%; Wilmington Trust Company and EY-Parthenon estimate the probability of a U.S. recession at 45% and 40%, respectively.

而在通常情况下，这一概率应为20%左右。
Typically, this probability should be around 20%.

穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪表示，令人担忧的是，衰退风险“高到令人不适且还在继续升高”，经济衰退已是一个真实威胁。
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, stated that the concerning aspect is that the recession risk is “uncomfortably high and continuing to rise,” and that an economic downturn is a real threat.

如果当前的高油价持续到5月下旬至二季度末，“美国经济将陷入衰退”。
If the current high oil prices persist until late May to the end of the second quarter, “the U.S. economy will enter a recession.”