Prediction Markets & Event Contracts—How Gate Brings Binary Predictions to a CEX Prediction Markets are one of the fastest-growing crypto sectors in recent years. In Q1 2026, global prediction market platform trading volume reached $25.7 billion, up more than 90% month-over-month. Bernstein expects the industry to reach $240 billion in 2026 and $1 trillion by 2030. Gate event contracts were born in this context. The Core Mechanism of Prediction Markets The core mechanism of prediction markets is “probability equals price.” If the market assesses the probability of an event happening as 65%, then the corresponding contract price will trade around 0.65. This pricing mechanism aggregates the wisdom and information of all participants in the market, forming a collective assessment of the likelihood that the event occurs. Gate’s Innovation: Bringing Prediction Markets Into a CEX Previously, prediction markets mostly remained on on-chain platforms, while more than 95% of crypto trading volume takes place on centralized exchanges. Gate event contracts fill this gap—bringing the core mechanics of prediction markets (binary outcomes, probability-based pricing, automatic settlement) into a CEX environment. Users don’t need to set up a wallet, don’t need to bridge across chains, and don’t need to pay on-chain gas fees; they can participate directly using USDT. The Evolutionary Form of Binary Options In terms of product shape, event contracts are similar to binary options—both have binary outcomes (win or lose) and both settle with a fixed amount. But event contracts have evolved across multiple dimensions: they are priced based on an order book rather than market-maker quotes, making liquidity more transparent; they use institutional-grade oracles like Chainlink for settlement, making results more credible; and they cover not only financial assets, but a broader range of event types. The Value of Chainlink Settlement Gate’s choice of Chainlink as the settlement data source is significant. Chainlink is now the exclusive oracle infrastructure behind the official prediction market for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, capable of settling the outcomes of all 104 matches. This means the infrastructure that can adjudicate the results of the world’s largest sports event can now also adjudicate directional predictions for BTC prices in a 5-minute window. Short-cycle settlement places extremely high demands on data accuracy and timestamps, and Chainlink’s infrastructure ensures the reference price can be precisely labeled and resists manipulation. #事件合約首發狂歡 $ETH ‌

BTC has been slowly climbing up from the recent dip low. The bounce peaked at 64,566, then faced pressure and fell back; pushing through the 64,600 resistance level hasn’t worked, either. Overall, the structure still looks relatively weak. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are still in a downward-opening state. This rebound failed to recover the prior downside space, and overhead selling pressure remains. There is still a risk of a second dip. In terms of trading, keep to an intraday high-short approach. Place short orders primarily around key resistance levels. Weekend price swings are relatively small, so more conservative traders can also patiently wait for important signals to appear. #直通IPO第二期JerseyMikes $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

After the noise fades, the market returns to a more rational track, and the $JTO short position successfully locks in profits. Entry price: 0.7814; current price: 0.5743; achieved a 1880.58% return. After continued declines, support below gradually takes shape, and the momentum for further downward movement slowly weakens. In the short term, there may be an opportunity for a corrective rebound. No need to obsess over the remaining limited downside space—steadily realize the gains on paper. Stay calm and observe how the market unfolds next, waiting for the next suitable time to set up. $ETH $DEXE #英特尔Q2营收创15年最快增速 #SEC推进美股24小时交易