【整理下周对BTC盘面影响】诗缘看法 Next week will bring a major “super central bank week,” with multiple announcements directly driving risk-asset sentiment. BTC mainly to watch these key events: Core high-impact events (from highest to lowest priority) 1. Thursday: Fed interest rate decision + FOMC press conference + Core PCE inflation data【the top priority】 Fed policy expectations are the biggest mainline for the crypto market. If the stance is hawkish—keeping rates high: it will weigh on BTC and often lead to a continuation of weak consolidation; If it releases rate-cut signals and the tone turns dovish: risk sentiment improves, giving long-position traders opportunities. At the same time, core PCE inflation is a crucial reference for the Fed’s policy adjustments. The data’s strength or weakness will immediately change the market’s rate-cut expectations. 2. Earnings reports from tech giants (Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Qualcomm, SK hynix) Crypto assets and US tech stocks are highly correlated in terms of sentiment: Strong earnings → higher market risk appetite, bullish for BTC; Earnings miss expectations → tech stocks fall, putting pressure on BTC as well. Pay close attention to memory-chip earnings (SK hynix) and the performance of leading internet companies, which can influence capital flows across the broader tech sector. 3. Coordinated rate decisions by central banks across multiple countries (Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bank of Canada) Global central banks acting in unison will disrupt USD index volatility. A stronger dollar is typically bearish for crypto, while a weaker dollar is bullish for BTC. Secondary data that should be observed alongside ADP employment, initial jobless claims, and US PMI employment-related data: reflect the strength or weakness of the US economy, indirectly influencing the Fed’s policy thinking; Eurozone/US CPI and GDP preliminary growth data: continuously confirm whether the economy is hot or cold, changing market expectations for subsequent monetary policy. Trading-level summary Next week’s market is likely to see amplified volatility. Try to avoid heavy concentration in long-term positions. The price action will involve a double battle between technical structure and macro news: Before the Fed decision is finalized, funds tend to be cautious, and short-term choppy action will intensify; only after the rate decision and PCE data land will a clearer short-term direction emerge. In execution, strictly keep protective measures in place, wait until the dust settles on the news, and then follow the trend to increase position size. $BTC $ETH

Just picked up my coffee, and the chart immediately gave the bears a great response. Right after the early session dump, $APT loosened from the highs downward. What I was watching wasn’t just that one move on the surface, but the fact that the rebound never managed to regain a solid footing. A few days ago, I watched APT late at night. The price repeatedly pushed upward, but always fell short by a breath—there wasn’t any clear pickup in volume, while sell pressure layered down one after another. Back then, I opened a long at around 0.9197. The key was to wait for signs that the bids were showing fatigue, then manage it according to the rhythm. Now the price is at 0.6323, and this round’s realized gains are +2220.39%. This short position has been held very comfortably. First close 80%. With the remaining 20%, shift the protection level to around the cost basis. If it keeps dumping, let the profits run. Even if it bounces back, don’t give back the space you already secured. Being in cash isn’t a crime—reckless entries are what’s wrong. Don’t get greedy for the last bite. For friends who haven’t boarded yet, listen to me: don’t chase and jump into the plunge right now. Wait for the next round of signals, then make your move. Opportunities are always there—the rhythm matters more than impulse. $BTC $ETH

To trade, you must learn to stay in cash. Staying in cash is the highest-level hunting. The root cause of most traders losing money has never been that they can’t read the market—it’s that they can’t tolerate the loneliness of being in cash. The order book moves every moment; candles keep tugging back and forth, and the market constantly manufactures the illusion of “it looks like there’s a chance.” Wanting to enter because your hands are itchy, being afraid of missing out, and always trying to profit from every segment of the move—frequent entries are the beginning of ongoing losses. Being in cash isn’t giving up opportunities; it’s actively choosing to wait. A hunter doesn’t fire an arrow at every ripple in the wind; they quietly lie in ambush, waiting until the prey fully enters the ambush zone, when the risk-reward ratio is excellent and the signals are highly certain—then they strike decisively. When there’s no opportunity that fits your trading system, holding cash is the best position. Cash doesn’t draw down, doesn’t get trapped, and doesn’t force you to endure the agony of unrealized losses—you keep full control. Many people misunderstand: only holding positions can make money. The truth is the opposite—profits come from a few high-quality trades, while losses come from countless times of forcing an entry “just because.” If you don’t know how to stay in cash, you’ll always be passive and dragged around by the market; if you do know how to stay in cash, you earn the right to select opportunities. Opportunities are never scarce, but capital is limited. Learn patience and bide your time, restrain the urge to open positions at will, and hunt only the opportunities you can truly read—while staying comfortably in cash and watching during the rest of the time. In cash, waiting as still as calm water; in motion, leaving like a lightning strike—that is the best way to hunt in trading. $ETH ‌#直通IPO第二期JerseyMikes